.






UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT

 

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report:  October 24, 2007

(Date of earliest event reported)

  

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Ohio

0-4604

31-0746871

(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)

(Commission
File Number)

(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)

   

6200 S. Gilmore Road, Fairfield, Ohio

45014-5141

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

  

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:  (513) 870-2000

 

N/A

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:


¨

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))


Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure


Beginning on October 24, 2007, Cincinnati Financial Corporation distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release.


In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.









Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.


(c)

Exhibits


Exhibit 99.1 – Supplemental Financial Data (September 30, 2007)



Signature


Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.


 

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

  
  
  

Date:  October 30, 2007

/s/ Kenneth W. Stecher

 

Kenneth W. Stecher

 

Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President, Secretary and Treasurer

 

(Principal Accounting Officer)







.


Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Supplemental Financial Data

September 30, 2007

Third Quarter

   
   
 

6200 South Gilmore Road

 
 

Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

 
 

www.cinfin.com/investors

 
   
   

Investor Contact:

Media Contact:

Shareholder Contact:

Heather J. Wietzel

Joan O. Shevchik

Jerry L. Litton

513-870-2768

513-603-5323

513-870-2639

   
   

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

  
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Corporate Debt

aa-

A+

A2

A

     

The Cincinnati Insurance Companies

    
     
 

A.M. Best

Fitch

Moody’s

Standard & Poor’s

     

Property Casualty Group

A++

na

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Insurance Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

The Cincinnati Casualty Company

A++

AA

Aa3

AA-

     

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

A+

AA

na

AA-

     
     
 

Ratings are as of October 24, 2007, under continuing review and subject to change and/or affirmation.  For the latest ratings, select the Ratings tab on www.cinfin.com/investors.

 
  
 

The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited. These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2006. The results of operations for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year. Certain 2006 interim period data has been updated to correct rounding differences.

 







 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

 
 

Supplemental Financial Data

 
 

Third Quarter 2007

 
  

Page

Status

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

3

10/24/2007

    

Consolidated

  
 

Quick Reference

4

10/24/2007

 

Consolidated Statements of Income

5

10/24/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007

6

10/24/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006

7

10/24/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2007

8

10/24/2007

 

CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

9

10/24/2007

 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

10

10/24/2007

 

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

11

10/24/2007

 

Top Holdings -- Common Stocks

12

10/24/2007

 

Fifth Third Bancorp Holding

13

10/24/2007

 

CFC Subsidiaries – Selected Balance Sheet Data

14

10/24/2007

    

Property Casualty Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

15

10/24/2007

 

Statutory Statements of Income

16

10/24/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Consolidated

17

10/24/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Commercial Lines

18

10/24/2007

 

Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Personal Lines

19

10/24/2007

 

Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State

20

10/29/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business

21

10/29/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business

22

10/29/2007

 

Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis

23

10/29/2007

    

Reconciliation Data

  
 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated

24

10/24/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines

25

10/24/2007

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines

26

10/24/2007

    

Life Insurance Operations

  
 

GAAP Statements of Income

27

10/29/2007

 

Statutory Statements of Income

28

10/29/2007

 

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

29

10/29/2007






Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures

(See attached tables for 2007 and 2006 data; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

·

Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.

For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.

·

Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.

·

Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

·

Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.  





2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

3






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quick Reference - Third Quarter 2007

(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of September 30, 2007)

(Based on reported data - see Pages 24-26 for adjusted data)

      
         

(Dollars in millions except share data)

        

Revenues:

    

Benefits and expenses:

   

 

    

 

   

Commercial lines net written premiums

$

544 

  

Commercial lines loss and loss expenses

$

396 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(6.4)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

5.1 

%

Personal lines net written premiums

$

192 

  

Personal lines loss and loss expenses

$

128 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(3.1)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(8.1)

%

Property casualty net written premiums

$

736 

  

Property casualty loss and loss expenses

$

524 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(5.6)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

1.5 

%

Commercial lines net earned premiums

$

600 

  

Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits

$

36 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(0.3)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

9.8 

%

Personal lines net earned premiums

$

177 

  

Operating expenses

$

249

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(6.6)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(3.0)

%

Property casualty net earned premiums

$

777 

  

Interest expenses

$

13 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.8)

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(4.7)

%

Life and accident and health net earned premiums

$

34 

  

Total expenses

$

822 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

23.0 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

0.3 

%

Investment income

$

152 

  

Income before income taxes

$

160 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

5.8 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

8.2 

%

Realized gains on investments

$

16 

 

 

Total income tax

$

36 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm 

%

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

11.0 

%

Other income

$

  

Effective tax rate

 

22.5 

%

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(24.2)

%

     

Total revenues

$

982 

  

Ratios:

 

 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

1.5 

%

 

 

  

 

 

    

Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio

 

95.4 

%

Income:

 

 

  

Personal lines GAAP combined ratio

 

103.8 

%

 

    

Property casualty GAAP combined ratio

 

97.3 

%

Operating income

$

114 

  

 

  

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.1)

%

 

Commercial lines STAT combined ratio

 

97.2 

%

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

10 

  

Personal lines STAT combined ratio

 

103.6 

%

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm

%

 

Property casualty STAT combined ratio

 

98.7 

%

Net income

$

124 

  

 

   

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

7.4 

%

 

Return on equity based upon net income

 

7.4 

%

 

    

Return on equity based upon operating income

 

6.8

%

Per share (diluted):

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

    

Balance Sheet:

   

Operating income

$

            0.66 

  

 

   

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

0.0 

%

 

Fixed maturity investments

$

5,939 

 

Net realized investment gains and losses

$

            0.06 

  

Equity securities

 

7,225 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

nm 

%

 

Short-term investments

 

37 

 

Net income

$

            0.72 

  

Other invested assets

 

       67 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

9.1 

%

 

  Total invested assets

$

13,268 

======

 

Book value

$

38.47 

  

 

   

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

3.1 

%

 

Property casualty and life loss and loss expense reserves

$

  4,031

 

Weighted average shares -- diluted

 

172,399,539 

  

Total debt

 

860 

 

   Year-over-year percentage change

 

(1.6)

%

 

Shareholders equity

 

6,538 

 



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

4






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income

 

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

 

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

  

2007

 

2006

 

Change

% Change

  

2007

 

2006

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

               

  Premiums earned:

               

   Property casualty

$

820,957,046 

$

832,224,817 

$

(11,267,771)

(1.35)

 

$

2,477,854,355 

$

2,475,926,407 

$

1,927,948 

0.08 

   Life

 

42,395,592 

 

36,294,277 

 

6,101,315 

16.81 

  

124,663,788 

 

109,318,969 

 

15,344,819 

14.04 

   Accident health

 

1,776,832 

 

1,709,173 

 

67,659 

3.96 

  

5,141,122 

 

4,948,521 

 

192,601 

3.89 

   Premiums ceded

 

(54,453,334)

 

(51,268,668)

 

(3,184,666)

6.21 

  

(160,490,771)

 

(144,775,239)

 

(15,715,532)

10.86 

     Total premiums earned

 

810,676,136 

 

818,959,599 

 

(8,283,463)

(1.01)

  

2,447,168,494 

 

2,445,418,658 

 

1,749,836 

0.07 

  Investment income

 

152,051,554 

 

143,775,266 

 

8,276,288 

5.76 

  

450,376,849 

 

425,032,304 

 

25,344,545 

5.96 

  Realized gain on investments

 

15,713,227 

 

(172,581)

 

15,885,808 

(9,204.84)

  

370,146,519 

 

671,377,232 

 

(301,230,713)

(44.87)

  Other income

 

3,339,995 

 

4,404,807 

 

(1,064,812)

(24.17)

  

14,893,770 

 

13,779,080 

 

1,114,690 

8.09 

Total revenues

$

981,780,912 

$

966,967,091 

$

14,813,821 

1.53 

 

$

3,282,585,632 

$

3,555,607,274 

$

(273,021,642)

(7.68)

Benefits & expenses:

           &nb sp;   

  Losses & policy benefits

$

585,951,416 

$

578,846,827 

$

7,104,589 

1.23 

 

$

1,649,479,484 

$

1,694,301,755 

$

(44,822,271)

(2.65)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(26,400,951)

 

(30,315,757)

 

3,914,806 

(12.91)

  

(116,025,070)

 

(98,667,113)

 

(17,357,957)

17.59 

  Commissions

 

136,051,089 

 

155,791,819 

 

(19,740,730)

(12.67)

  

465,911,059 

 

477,745,948 

 

(11,834,889)

(2.48)

  Other operating expenses

 

88,009,132 

 

83,215,761 

 

4,793,371 

5.76 

  

257,353,965 

 

242,512,606 

 

14,841,359 

6.12 

  Interest expense

 

12,726,648 

 

13,349,408 

 

(622,760)

(4.67)

  

38,703,204 

 

39,311,943 

 

(608,739)

(1.55)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

17,904,979 

 

19,382,354 

 

(1,477,375)

(7.62)

  

56,801,190 

 

58,002,253 

 

(1,201,063)

(2.07)

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

5,679,866 

 

(4,798,858)

 

10,478,724 

(218.36)

  

(17,013,847)

 

(26,742,398)

 

9,728,551 

(36.38)

  Other expenses

 

2,090,041 

 

3,789,308 

 

(1,699,267)

(44.84)

  

9,040,081 

 

12,097,966 

 

(3,057,885)

(25.28)

Total expenses

$

822,012,220 

$

819,260,862 

$

2,751,358 

0.34 

 

$

2,344,250,066 

$

2,398,562,960 

$

(54,312,894)

(2.26)

Income before income taxes

$

159,768,692 

$

147,706,229 

$

12,062,463 

8.17 

 

$

938,335,566 

$

1,157,044,314 

$

(218,708,748)

(18.90)

Provision for income taxes:

           &nb sp;   

Current operating income

$

26,303,009 

$

23,097,937 

$

3,205,072 

13.88 

 

$

132,246,641 

$

118,760,218 

$

13,486,423 

11.36 

Realized investments gains and losses

 

5,992,647 

 

(89,965)

 

6,082,612 

(6,761.09)

  

132,412,878 

 

244,892,142 

 

(112,479,264)

(45.93)

Deferred

 

3,644,481 

 

9,386,153 

 

(5,741,672)

(61.17)

  

4,978,995 

 

(6,393,609)

 

11,372,604 

(177.87)

Total income taxes

$

35,940,137 

$

32,394,125 

$

3,546,012 

10.95 

 

$

269,638,514 

$

357,258,751 

$

(87,620,237)

(24.53)

                

Net income

$

123,828,555 

$

115,312,104 

$

8,516,451 

7.39 

 

$

668,697,052 

$

799,785,563 

$

(131,088,511)

(16.39)

Comprehensive net income

$

(149,174,974)

$

455,185,004 

$

(604,359,978)

(132.77)

 

$

29,253,026 

$

609,439,522 

$

(580,186,496)

(95.20)

Operating income

$

114,107,975 

$

115,394,725 

$

(1,286,750)

(1.12)

 

$

430,953,411 

$

373,300,473 

$

57,652,938 

15.44 

Net realized investments gains and losses

$

9,720,580 

$

(82,615)

$

9,803,195 

(11,866.12)

 

$

237,733,641 

$

426,485,090 

$

(188,751,449)

(44.26)

                

Net income per share:

           &nb sp;   

  Operating income

$

 0.67 

$

0.67 

$

-

0.00 

 

$

2.51 

$

2.15 

$

0.36 

16.74 

  Net realized investments gains
   and losses

 

0.05 

 

0.00 

 

0.05 

N/A 

  

1.38 

 

2.46 

 

(1.08)

(43.90)

  Net income per share (basic)

$

 0.72 

$

0.67 

$

0.05 

7.46 

 

$

3.89 

$

4.61 

$

(0.72)

(15.62)

  Operating income

$

 0.66 

$

0.66 

$

0.00 

 

$

2.49 

$

2.13 

$

0.36 

16.90 

  Net realized investments gains
   and losses

 

0.06 

 

0.00 

 

0.06 

N/A 

  

1.37 

 

2.43 

 

(1.06)

(43.62)

  Net income per share (diluted)

$

 0.72 

$

0.66 

$

0.06 

9.09 

 

$

3.86 

$

4.56 

$

(0.70)

(15.35)

Dividends per share:

           &nb sp;   

  Paid

$

 0.355 

$

0.335 

$

0.02 

5.97 

 

$

1.045 

$

0.975 

$

0.07 

7.18 

  Declared

 

0.355 

 

0.335 

 

0.02 

5.97 

  

1.065 

 

1.005 

 

0.06 

5.97 

Number of shares:

           &nb sp;   

  Weighted avg - basic

 

171,068,956 

 

173,224,254 

 

(2,155,298)

(1.24)

  

171,804,376 

 

173,555,925 

 

(1,751,549)

(1.01)

  Weighted avg - diluted

 

172,399,539 

 

175,260,063 

 

(2,860,524)

(1.63)

  

173,423,199 

 

175,542,616 

 

(2,119,417)

(1.21)




2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

5






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

   Property casualty

$

2,477,854,355 

$

$

2,478,188,351 

$

$

$

$

(333,996)

   Life

 

124,663,788 

 

 

 

124,663,788 

 

 

 

   Accident health

 

5,141,122 

 

 

 

5,141,122 

 

 

 

   Premiums ceded

 

(160,490,771)

 

 

(130,356,727)

 

(30,134,044)

 

 

 

     Total earned premium

 

2,447,168,494 

 

 

2,347,831,624 

 

99,670,866 

 

 

 

(333,996)

  Investment income

 

450,376,849 

 

74,438,392 

 

291,738,759 

 

84,594,298 

 

206,372 

 

196,747 

 

(797,719)

  Realized gain on investments

 

370,146,519 

 

103,152,228 

 

202,374,057 

 

51,750,857 

 

311,590 

 

(7,168)

 

12,564,955 

  Other income

 

14,893,770 

 

7,489,436 

 

3,310,897 

 

3,461,706 

 

7,701,286 

 

1,852,346 

 

(8,921,901)

Total revenues

$

3,282,585,632 

$

185,080,056 

$

2,845,255,337 

$

239,477,727 

$

8,219,248 

$

2,041,925 

$

2,511,339 

                

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

1,649,479,484 

$

$

1,523,262,450 

$

127,869,309 

$

$

$

(1,652,275)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(116,025,070)

 

 

(86,370,570)

 

(29,654,500)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

465,911,059 

 

 

439,509,545 

 

26,401,514 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

257,363,965 

 

13,857,387 

 

225,330,196 

 

23,381,966 

 

3,316,875 

 

523,327 

 

(9,045,786)

  Interest expense

 

38,703,204 

 

36,597,174 

 

 

 

2,179,432 

 

 

(73,402)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

56,801,190 

 

920,269 

 

52,977,986 

 

2,756,613 

 

35,794 

 

110,528 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(17,013,847)

 

 

(8,282,870)

 

(8,730,977)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

9,040,081 

 

 

9,039,973 

 

108 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

2,344,260,066 

$

51,374,830 

$

2,155,466,710 

$

142,024,033 

$

5,532,101 

$

633,855 

$

(10,771,463)

                

Income before income taxes

$

938,325,566 

$

133,705,226 

$

689,788,627 

$

97,453,694 

$

2,687,147 

$

1,408,070 

$

13,282,802 

                

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

132,246,641 

$

(6,239,812)

$

136,806,227 

$

4,508,915 

$

1,090,738 

$

478,307 

$

(4,397,734)

  Capital gains/losses

 

132,412,878 

 

37,813,280 

 

71,840,023 

 

18,257,800 

 

109,057 

 

(5,016)

 

4,397,734 

  Deferred

 

4,978,995 

 

4,334,934 

 

(14,712,193)

 

10,914,527 

 

(209,100)

 

1,846 

 

4,648,981 

Total income tax

$

269,638,514 

$

35,908,402 

$

193,934,057 

$

33,681,242 

$

990,695 

$

475,137 

$

4,648,981 

                

Net income - current year

$

668,687,052 

$

97,796,824 

$

495,854,570 

$

63,772,452 

$

1,696,452 

$

932,933 

$

8,633,821 

                

Net income - prior year

$

799,785,561 

$

291,889,039 

$

449,694,098 

$

54,095,122 

$

1,388,938 

$

995,542 

$

1,722,822 

               

Change in net income

 

-16.4%

 

-66.5%

 

10.3%

 

17.9%

 

22.1%

 

-6.3%

  



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

6






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

   Property casualty

$

2,475,926,407 

$

$

2,476,130,642 

$

$

$

-

$

(204,235)

   Life

 

109,318,969 

 

 

 

109,318,969 

 

 

-

 

   Accident health

 

4,948,521 

 

 

 

4,948,521 

 

 

-

 

   Premiums ceded

 

(144,775,239)

 

 

(114,086,242)

 

(30,688,997)

 

 

-

 

      Total earned premium

 

2,445,418,658 

 

 

2,362,044,400 

 

83,578,493 

 

 

-

 

(204,235)

  Investment income

 

425,032,303 

 

72,886,606 

 

273,650,490 

 

80,603,825 

 

46,800 

 

152,135

 

(2,307,553)

  Realized gain on investments

 

671,377,232 

 

408,476,440 

 

218,522,618 

 

42,327,225 

 

(541,501)

 

13,974

 

2,578,476 

  Other income

 

13,779,079 

 

7,562,069 

 

2,543,187 

 

2,559,919 

 

8,325,040 

 

1,752,535

 

(8,963,671)

Total revenues

$

3,555,607,272 

$

488,925,115 

$

2,856,760,695 

$

209,069,462 

$

7,830,339 

$

1,918,644

$

(8,896,983)

               

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

1,694,301,755 

$

$

1,577,665,678 

$

118,288,412 

$

$

-

$

(1,652,335)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(98,667,113)

 

 

(71,961,815)

 

(26,705,298)

 

 

-

 

  Commissions

 

477,745,948 

 

 

452,075,295 

 

25,670,653 

 

 

-

 

  Other operating expenses

 

242,512,606 

 

14,648,994 

 

212,430,180 

 

19,784,207 

 

3,954,490 

 

395,698

 

(8,700,963)

  Interest expense

 

39,311,943 

 

38,152,316 

 

392,450 

 

 

1,961,356 

 

-

 

(1,194,179)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

58,002,254 

 

867,522 

 

55,196,080 

 

2,144,949 

 

(241,964)

 

35,667

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(26,742,397)

 

 

(12,504,697)

 

(14,237,700)

 

 

-

 

  Other expenses

 

12,097,965 

 

 

12,097,857 

 

108 

 

 

-

 

Total expenses

$

2,398,562,961 

$

53,668,832 

$

2,225,391,028 

$

124,945,331 

$

5,673,882 

$

431,365

$

(11,547,477)

               

Income before income taxes

$

1,157,044,311 

$

435,256,283 

$

631,369,667 

$

84,124,131 

$

2,156,457 

$

1,487,279

$

2,650,494 

               

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

118,760,218 

$

(3,584,929)

$

115,636,895 

$

5,319,857 

$

909,580 

$

478,815

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

244,892,142 

 

152,440,557 

 

77,515,165 

 

14,931,529 

 

 

4,891

 

  Deferred

 

(6,393,609)

 

(5,488,385)

 

(11,476,491)

 

9,777,623 

 

(142,061)

 

8,032

 

927,673 

Total income tax

$

357,258,751 

$

143,367,243 

$

181,675,569 

$

30,029,009 

$

767,519 

$

491,738

$

927,673 

               

Net income - current year

$

799,785,560 

$

291,889,040 

$

449,694,098 

$

54,095,122 

$

1,388,938 

$

995,541

$

1,722,821 

               

Net income - prior year

$

419,298,094 

$

27,733,445 

$

354,886,734 

$

31,469,807 

$

2,651,223 

$

908,027

$

1,648,858 

               

Change in net income

 

90.7%

 

952.5%

 

26.7%

 

71.9%

 

-47.6%

 

9.6%

  



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

7






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2007

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

    Property casualty

$

820,957,046 

$

$

820,959,014 

$

$

$

$

(1,968)

    Life

 

42,395,592 

 

 

 

42,395,592 

 

 

 

    Accident health

 

1,776,832 

 

 

 

1,776,832 

 

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(54,453,334)

 

 

(44,158,148)

 

(10,295,186)

 

 

 

     Total earned premium

 

810,676,136 

 

 

776,800,866 

 

33,877,238 

 

 

 

(1,968)

  Investment income

 

152,051,554 

 

25,316,172 

 

98,273,334 

 

28,515,819 

 

133,533 

 

70,993 

 

(258,297)

  Realized gain on investments

 

15,713,227 

 

20,526,362 

 

(4,836,462)

 

(117,732)

 

311,590 

 

(1,959)

 

(168,572)

  Other income

 

3,339,995 

 

2,538,145 

 

(340,240)

 

1,141,955 

 

2,242,708 

 

616,626 

 

(2,859,199)

Total revenues

$

981,780,912 

$

48,380,679 

$

869,897,498 

$

63,417,280 

$

2,687,831 

$

685,660 

$

(3,288,036)

               

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

585,951,416 

$

$

540,738,841 

$

45,763,373 

$

$

$

(550,798)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(26,400,951)

 

 

(16,893,445)

 

(9,507,506)

 

 

 

  Commissions

 

136,051,089 

 

(47,500)

 

127,709,961 

 

8,388,628 

 

 

 

  Other operating expenses

 

88,009,132 

 

4,354,758 

 

77,437,505 

 

7,831,539 

 

1,170,270 

 

177,331 

 

(2,962,271)

  Interest expense

 

12,726,648 

 

12,080,695 

 

 

 

708,486 

 

 

(62,533)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

17,904,979 

 

306,756 

 

16,645,686 

 

930,560 

 

5,727 

 

16,250 

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

5,679,866 

 

 

8,082,224 

 

(2,402,358)

 

 

 

  Other expenses

 

2,090,041 

 

 

2,090,041 

 

 

 

 

Total expenses

$

822,012,220 

$

16,694,709 

$

755,810,813 

$

51,004,236 

$

1,884,483 

$

193,581 

$

(3,575,602)

               

Income before income taxes

$

159,768,692 

$

31,685,970 

$

114,086,685 

$

12,413,044 

$

803,348 

$

492,079 

$

287,566 

               

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

26,303,009 

$

(5,798,618)

$

30,444,664 

$

1,076,018 

$

360,983 

$

160,962 

$

59,000 

  Capital gains/losses

 

5,992,647 

 

7,554,227 

 

(1,583,658)

 

(22,206)

 

109,057 

 

(5,773)

 

(59,000)

  Deferred

 

3,644,481 

 

3,569,415 

 

(3,000,557)

 

3,171,530 

 

(201,383)

 

4,827 

 

100,649 

Total income tax

$

35,940,137 

$

5,325,024 

$

25,860,449 

$

4,225,342 

$

268,657 

$

160,016 

$

100,649 

               

Net income - current year

$

123,828,555 

$

26,360,946 

$

88,226,236 

$

8,187,702 

$

534,691 

$

332,063 

$

186,917 

               

Net income - prior year

$

115,312,108 

$

9,915,441 

$

95,560,597 

$

8,698,927 

$

327,922 

$

346,618 

$

462,603 

               

Change in net income

 

7.4%

 

165.9%

 

-7.7%

 

-5.9%

 

63.1%

 

-4.2%

  



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

8






Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

               
 

Total

CFC

CIC GROUP

CLIC

CFC-I

CINFIN

ELIM

Revenues:

              

  Premiums earned:

              

   Property casualty

$

832,224,817 

$

$

832,230,217 

$

$

$

-

$

(5,400)

   Life

 

36,294,277 

 

 

 

36,294,277 

 

 

-

 

   Accident health

 

1,709,173 

 

 

 

1,709,173 

 

 

-

 

   Premiums ceded

 

(51,268,668)

 

 

(40,812,821)

 

(10,455,847)

 

 

-

 

     Total earned premium

 

818,959,599 

 

 

791,417,396 

 

27,547,603 

 

 

-

 

(5,400)

  Investment income

 

143,775,266 

 

24,507,149 

 

92,191,499 

 

27,213,672 

 

46,800 

 

55,452

 

(239,306)

  Realized gain on investments

 

(172,581)

 

(2,726,812)

 

2,792,195 

 

(256,745)

 

(541,501)

 

4,410

 

555,872 

  Other income

 

4,404,807 

 

2,537,505 

 

761,677 

 

755,639 

 

2,742,563 

 

600,330

 

(2,992,907)

Total revenues

$

966,967,091 

$

24,317,842 

$

887,162,767 

$

55,260,169 

$

2,247,862 

$

660,192

$

(2,681,741)

         &n bsp;     

Benefits & expenses:

              

  Losses & policy benefits

$

578,846,827 

$

$

536,647,193 

$

42,750,492 

$

$

-

$

(550,858)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(30,315,757)

 

 

(20,587,535)

 

(9,728,222)

 

 

-

 

  Commissions

 

155,791,819 

 

 

147,356,940 

 

8,434,879 

 

 

-

 

  Other operating expenses

 

83,215,761 

 

5,263,781 

 

72,719,732 

 

6,877,898 

 

1,067,271 

 

129,658

 

(2,842,579)

  Interest expense

 

13,349,408 

 

12,615,175 

 

 

 

734,233 

 

-

 

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

19,382,353 

 

371,758 

 

18,568,187 

 

394,060 

 

36,459 

 

11,889

 

  Incr deferred acq expenses

 

(4,798,857)

 

 

1,745,550 

 

(6,544,407)

 

 

-

 

  Other expenses

 

3,789,307 

 

 

3,789,308 

 

(1)

 

 

-

 

Total expenses

$

819,260,861 

$

18,250,714 

$

760,239,375 

$

42,184,699 

$

1,837,963 

$

141,547

$

(3,393,437)

         &n bsp;     

Income before income taxes

$

147,706,230 

$

6,067,128 

$

126,923,392 

$

13,075,470 

$

409,899 

$

518,645

$

711,696 

         &n bsp;     

Provision for income taxes:

              

  Current operating income

$

23,097,936 

$

(1,882,887)

$

24,605,468 

$

(33,442)

$

243,709 

$

165,088

$

  Capital gains/losses

 

(89,966)

 

(1,672,581)

 

1,553,933 

 

27,139 

 

 

1,543

 

  Deferred

 

9,386,153 

 

(292,846)

 

5,203,394 

 

4,382,846 

 

(161,732)

 

5,397

 

249,094 

Total income tax

$

32,394,123 

$

(3,848,314)

$

31,362,795 

$

4,376,543 

$

81,977 

$

172,028

$

249,094 

         &n bsp;     

Net income - current year

$

115,312,107 

$

9,915,442 

$

95,560,597 

$

8,698,927 

$

327,922 

$

346,617

$

462,602 

         &n bsp;     

Net income - prior year

$

117,145,356 

$

11,567,302 

$

95,574,518 

$

8,114,811 

$

1,085,652 

$

270,355

$

532,718 

               

Change in net income

 

-1.6%

 

-14.3%

 

0.0%

 

7.2%

 

-69.8%

 

28.2%

  



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

9






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

(Dollars in millions except per share data)

  

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

  

2007

 

2006

   

(unaudited)

  

Assets

     

   Investments

     

      Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007—$5,905; 2006—$5,739)

 

$

              5,939 

$

              5,805 

      Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2007—$3,006; 2006—$2,621)

  

              7,225 

 

              7,799 

      Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007—$37; 2006—$95)

  

                  37 

 

                   95 

      Other invested assets

  

                  67 

 

                   60 

      Total investments

  

            13,268 

 

            13,759 

      

   Cash and cash equivalents

  

                 183 

 

                 202 

   Securities lending collateral

  

                 768 

 

                     - 

   Investment income receivable

  

                 123 

 

                 121 

   Finance receivable

  

                  97 

 

                 108 

   Premiums receivable

  

              1,161 

 

              1,128 

   Reinsurance receivable

  

                 745 

 

                 683 

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

  

                  12 

 

                   13 

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

  

                 471 

 

                 453 

   Property and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:  2007—$281; 2006—$261)

  

                 227 

 

                 193 

   Other assets

  

                  46 

 

                   58 

   Separate accounts

  

                 521 

 

                 504 

      Total assets

 

$

         17,622 

$

          17,222 

      

Liabilities

     

   Insurance reserves

     

      Losses and loss expense

 

$

           4,031 

$

            3,896 

      Life policy reserves

  

              1,459 

 

              1,409 

   Unearned premiums

  

              1,619 

 

              1,579 

   Securities lending payable

  

                 768 

 

                     - 

   Other liabilities

  

                 539 

 

                 533 

   Deferred income tax

  

              1,287 

 

              1,653 

   Notes payable

  

                  69 

 

                   49 

   6.125% senior debenture due 2034

  

                 371 

 

                 371 

   6.90% senior debenture due 2028

  

                  28 

 

                   28 

   6.92% senior debenture due 2028

  

                 392 

 

                 392 

   Separate accounts

  

                 521 

 

                 504 

      Total liabilities

  

            11,084 

 

            10,414 

      

Shareholders' equity

     

   Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2007-500 million shares, 2006-
      500 million shares; issued: 2007-196 million shares, 2006-196 million shares

  

                 392 

 

                 391 

   Paid-in capital

  

              1,041 

 

              1,015 

   Retained earnings

  

              3,277 

 

              2,786 

   Accumulated other comprehensive income

  

              2,735 

 

              3,379 

   Treasury stock at cost (2007—26 million shares, 2006—23 million shares)

  

                (907)

 

                (763)

      Total shareholders' equity

  

              6,538 

 

              6,808 

      Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

 

$

          17,622 

$

          17,222 

 

 

 

 

 

 



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

10






Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

 

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

                             

   Net income

  

$

124 

$

351 

$

194 

$

130 

$

115 

$

132 

$

552 

$

545 

$

684 

$

669 

$

800 

  

$

930 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

   

10 

 

187 

 

41 

 

 

 

 

421 

 

228 

 

426 

 

238 

 

427 

   

434 

   Operating income

   

114 

 

164 

 

153 

 

122 

 

115 

 

126 

 

131 

 

317 

 

258 

 

431 

 

373 

   

496 

   Less catastrophe losses

   

(9)

 

(7)

 

(2)

 

(29)

 

(18)

 

(41)

 

(26)

 

(9)

 

(67)

 

(18)

 

(85)

   

(113)

   Operating income before catastrophe losses

  

$

123 

$

171 

$

155 

$

151 

$

133 

$

167 

$

157 

$

326 

$

325 

$

449 

$

458 

  

$

609 

                             

Diluted per share data

                            

   Net income

  

$

0.72 

$

2.02 

$

1.11 

$

0.75 

$

0.66 

$

0.76 

$

3.13 

$

3.13 

$

3.90 

$

3.86 

$

4.56 

  

$

5.30 

   Net realized investment gains and losses

   

0.06 

 

1.08 

 

0.23 

 

0.05 

 

 

0.04 

 

2.39 

 

1.31 

 

2.43 

 

1.37 

 

2.43 

   

2.48 

   Operating income

   

0.66 

 

0.94 

 

0.88 

 

0.70 

 

0.66 

 

0.72 

 

0.74 

 

1.82 

 

1.47 

 

2.49 

 

2.13 

   

2.82 

   Less catastrophe losses

   

(0.05)

 

(0.04)

 

(0.01)

 

(0.16)

 

(0.10)

 

(0.24)

 

(0.14)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.38)

 

(0.10)

 

(0.48)

   

(0.65)

   Operating income before catastrophe losses

  

$

0.71 

$

0.98 

$

0.89 

$

0.86 

$

0.76 

$

0.96 

$

0.88 

$

1.87 

$

1.85 

$

2.59 

$

2.61 

  

$

3.47 

                             

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed

 independently.




2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

11





Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Top Holdings – Common Stocks

 

(Dollars in millions)

As of and for nine months ended September 30, 2007

Actual
cost

Fair
value

Percent of
fair value

Earned dividend
income

Fifth Third Bancorp

$

             283

$

           2,466

          35.3

%

$

            92

The Procter & Gamble Company

 

             206

 

              529

            7.6

  

             8

Exxon Mobil Corporation

 

               58

 

              478

            6.9

  

             6

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

 

             113

 

              345

            4.9

  

            12

U.S. Bancorp

 

             263

 

              333

            4.8

  

            11

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

 

               62

 

              320

            4.6

  

             9

Johnson & Johnson

 

             218

 

              263

            3.8

  

             5

National City Corporation

 

             171

 

              246

            3.5

  

            12

Wells Fargo & Company

 

             107

 

              204

            2.9

  

             5

Wyeth

 

               62

 

              197

            2.8

  

             3

Huntington Bancshares Inc

 

            168

 

              152

            2.2

  

             2

Piedmont Natural Gas Company, Inc.

 

               64

 

              142

            2.0

  

             4

Wachovia Corp

 

             150

 

              139

            2.0

  

             4

General Electric Co.

 

             106

 

              130

            1.9

  

             2

Chevron Corporation

 

               56

 

              124

            1.8

  

             2

All other common stock holdings

 

             661

 

              908

          13.0

  

            25

   Total

$

2,748

$

6,976

100.0

%

$

202

 



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

12





Fifth Third Bancorp Holding

Proforma – September 30, 2007

 

          

(In millions except market price data)

Pro-forma

 

Reported

  

Reported

 
 

At September 30,

At September 30,

At December 31,

 

 

2007

   

2007

  

2006

 

   Shares held

 

67

   

73

  

73

 
           

   Closing market price of Fifth Third

$

29.90

 

(1)

$

33.88

 

$

40.93

 

   Book value of holding

 

185

   

283

  

283

 

   Fair value of holding

 

2,012

   

2,466

  

2,979

 

   After-tax unrealized gain

 

1,187

   

1,419

  

1,752

 
           

   Market value as a percent of total equity investments  

 

29.7

%

(2)

 

34.1

%

 

38.2

%

   Market value as a percent of invested assets

 

15.7

 

(2)

 

18.6

  

21.7

 

   Market value as a percent of total shareholders' equity

 

30.8

 

(3)

 

37.7

  

43.8

 

   After-tax unrealized gain as a percent of total shareholders' equity

 

18.2

 

(3)

 

21.7

  

25.7

 
  
           

(1) Fifth Third closing price on October 22, 2007.

          

(2) Total equity investments and invested assets updated for Fifth Third share sale and market value as of October 22, 2007.

(3) Total shareholders' equity not updated for Fifth Third share sale and market value as of October 22, 2007.

           

Post-transaction, every $1.00 change in the market price of Fifth Third has approximately a 26 cent impact on our book value per share.

  



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

13






Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries

Selected Balance Sheet Data

                  

(Dollars in millions)

 

12/31/2007

 

9/30/2007

 

6/30/2007

 

3/31/2007

 

12/31/2006

 

9/30/2006

 

6/30/2006

 

3/31/2006

 

Cincinnati Insurance Property Casualty Group

                 

  Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value)

  

$

9,586

$

9,850 

$

9,837

$

9,882

$

9,393

$

8,987 

$

9,261

 

  Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

   

23

 

(30)

 

44

 

47

 

51

 

(55)

 

2

 

  Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

   

2,657

 

2,917 

 

3,017

 

3,166

 

2,859

 

2,621 

 

2,758

 

  Loss and Loss Expense Reserves - STAT

   

3,461

 

3,374 

 

3,373

 

3,356

 

3,314

 

3,237 

 

3,169

 

  Surplus - STAT

   

4,782

 

4,937 

 

4,741

 

4,750

 

4,607

 

4,342 

 

4,334

 
                  

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

                 

  Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value)

  

$

1,935

$

1,893 

$

1,922

$

1,913

$

1,893

$

1,803 

$

1,808

 

  Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

   

4

 

(4)

 

20

 

15

 

17

 

(17)

 

6

 

  Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

   

225

 

254 

 

305

 

307

 

271

 

238 

 

256

 

  Retained Earnings - GAAP

   

724

 

730 

 

739

 

719

 

688

 

652 

 

666

 

  Surplus - STAT

   

485

 

491 

 

483

 

479

 

461

 

459 

 

470

 
                  
  

12/31/2005

 

9/30/2005

 

6/30/2005

 

3/31/2005

 

12/31/2004

 

9/30/2004

 

6/30/2004

 

3/31/2004

 

Cincinnati Insurance Property Casualty Group

                 

  Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value)

$

8,947

$

8,833

$

8,802 

$

8,710

$

8,806

$

8,523

$

6,599 

$

6,882

 

  Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

 

50

 

86

 

152 

 

99

 

188

 

158

 

84 

 

190

 

  Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

 

2,803

 

2,807

 

2,903 

 

2,931

 

3,135

 

1,746

 

1,740 

 

1,924

 

  Loss and Loss Expense Reserves - STAT

 

3,111

 

3,150

 

3,065 

 

3,031

 

2,977

 

3,036

 

2,952 

 

2,901

 

  Surplus - STAT

 

4,220

 

4,224

 

4,180 

 

4,065

 

4,196

 

4,037

 

2,871 

 

2,791

 
                  

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

                 

  Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value)

$

1,788

$

1,797

$

1,748 

$

1,688

$

1,637

$

1,695

$

1,637 

$

1,652

 

  Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

 

31

 

45

 

70 

 

53

 

82

 

76

 

49 

 

94

 

  Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss)

 

266

 

274

 

275 

 

257

 

274

 

261

 

252 

 

266

 

  Retained Earnings - GAAP

 

651

 

348

 

655 

 

622

 

639

 

612

 

584 

 

610

 

  Surplus - STAT

 

451

 

447

 

447 

 

440

 

439

 

409

 

401 

 

395

 




2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

14






< TD style="border-bottom:0.25pt dashed #DFDFDF" valign=top width=76.733> < TD style="border-bottom:0.25pt dashed #DFDFDF" valign=top width=76.733> 

Cincinnati Insurance Group

GAAP Statements of Income

 
 

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

 

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

  

2007

  

2006

 

Change

% Change

  

2007

 

2006

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

                

  Premiums earned:

                

    Property casualty

$

820,959,014 

 

$

832,230,217 

$

(11,271,203)

(1.35)

 

$

2,478,188,351 

$

2,476,130,642 

$

2,057,709 

0.08 

    Life

 

  

 

  

 

 

    Accident health

 

  

 

  

 

 

    Premiums ceded

 

(44,158,148)

  

(40,812,821)

 

(3,345,327)

8.20 

  

(130,356,727)

 

(114,086,242)

 

(16,270,485)

14.26 

     Total premiums earned

 

776,800,866 

  

791,417,396 

 

(14,616,530)

(1.85)

  

2,347,831,624 

 

2,362,044,400 

 

(14,212,776)

(0.60)

  Investment income

 

98,273,334 

  

92,191,499 

 

6,081,835 

6.60 

  

291,738,759 

 

273,650,490 

 

18,088,269 

6.61 

  Realized gain on investments

 

(4,836,462)

  

2,792,195 

 

(7,628,657)

(273.21)

  

202,374,057 

 

218,522,618 

 

(16,148,561)

(7.39)

  Other income

 

(340,240)

  

761,677 

 

(1,101,917)

(144.67)

  

3,310,897 

 

2,543,187 

 

767,710 

30.19 

Total revenues

$

869,897,498 

 

$

887,162,767 

$

(17,265,269)

(1.95)

 

$

2,845,255,337 

$

2,856,760,695 

$

(11,505,358)

(0.40)

                 

Benefits & expenses:

               

  Losses & policy benefits

$

540,738,841 

 

$

536,647,193 

$

4,091,648 

0.76 

 

$

1,523,262,450 

$

1,577,665,678 

$

(54,403,228)

(3.45)

  Reinsurance recoveries

 

(16,893,445)

  

(20,587,535)

 

3,694,090 

(17.94)

  

(86,370,570)

 

(71,961,815)

 

(14,408,755)

20.02 

  Commissions

 

127,709,961 

  

147,356,940 

 

(19,646,979)

(13.33)

  

439,509,545 

 

452,075,295 

 

(12,565,750)

(2.78)

  Other operating expenses

 

77,437,505 

  

72,719,732 

 

4,717,773 

6.49 

  

225,330,196 

 

212,430,180 

 

12,900,016 

6.07 

  Interest expense

 

  

 

  

 

392,450 

 

(392,450)

  Taxes, licenses & fees

 

16,645,686 

  

18,568,187 

 

(1,922,501)

(10.35)

  

52,977,986 

 

55,196,080 

 

(2,218,094)

(4.02)

  Incr deferred acq expense

 

8,082,224 

  

1,745,550 

 

6,336,674 

363.02 

  

(8,282,870)

 

(12,504,697)

 

4,221,827 

(33.76)

  Other expenses

 

2,090,041 

  

3,789,308 

 

(1,699,267)

(44.84)

  

9,039,973 

 

12,097,857 

 

(3,057,884)

(25.28)

     Total expenses

$

755,810,813 

 

$

760,239,375 

$

(4,428,562)

(0.58)

 

$

2,155,466,710 

$

2,225,391,028 

$

(69,924,318)

(3.14)

     Income before income taxes

$

114,086,685 

 

$

126,923,392 

$

(12,836,707)

(10.11)

 

$

689,788,627 

$

631,369,667 

$

58,418,960 

9.25 

                 

Provision for income taxes:

               

Current operating income

$

30,444,664 

 

$

24,605,468 

$

5,839,196 

23.73 

 

$

136,806,227 

$

115,636,895 

$

21,169,332 

18.31 

Current realized investments gains and losses

 

(1,583,658)

  

1,553,933 

 

(3,137,591)

(201.91)

  

71,840,023 

 

77,515,165 

 

(5,675,142)

(7.32)

  Deferred

 

(3,000,557)

  

5,203,394 

 

(8,203,951)

(157.67)

  

(14,712,193)

 

(11,476,491)

 

(3,235,702)

28.19 

     Total income taxes

$

25,860,449 

 

$

31,362,795 

$

(5,502,346)

(17.54)

 

$

193,934,057 

$

181,675,569 

$

12,258,488 

6.75 

                 

     Net income

$

88,226,236 

 

$

95,560,597 

$

(7,334,361)

(7.68)

 

$

495,854,570 

$

449,694,098 

$

46,160,472 

10.26 



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

15





Cincinnati Insurance Group

Statutory Statements of Income

 
 

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

  

2007

 

2006

% Change

 

2007

 

2006

% Change

Underwriting income

          

Net premiums written

$

736,354,821 

$

779,850,450 

(5.58)

$

2,392,327,271

$

2,422,859,784

(1.26)

Unearned premiums increase

 

(40,446,047)

 

(11,566,946)

249.67 

 

44,495,646

 

60,815,381

(26.83)

Earned premiums

 

776,800,868 

 

791,417,397 

(1.85)

 

2,347,831,625

 

2,362,044,403

(0.60)

           

Losses incurred

$

431,727,371 

$

433,550,671 

(0.42)

$

1,166,347,214

$

1,261,577,990

(7.55)

Allocated loss expenses incurred

 

44,377,048 

 

39,943,837 

11.10 

 

133,163,852

 

111,441,487

19.49 

Unallocated loss expenses incurred

 

47,740,977 

 

42,565,137 

12.16 

 

137,380,815

 

132,684,385

3.54 

Other underwriting expenses incurred

 

227,469,464 

 

240,710,680 

(5.50)

 

711,845,483

 

701,823,238

1.43 

Workers compensation dividend incurred

 

2,649,865 

 

2,457,033 

7.85 

 

8,052,312

 

12,207,419

(34.04)

           

     Total underwriting deductions

$

753,964,725 

$

759,227,358 

(0.69)

$

2,156,789,676

$

2,219,734,519

(2.84)

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

22,836,143 

$

32,190,038 

(29.06)

$

191,041,949

 

142,309,885

34.24 

           

Investment income

          

Gross investment income earned

$

100,579,844 

$

93,222,475 

7.89 

$

296,592,934

$

277,045,152

7.06 

Net investment income earned

 

97,939,533 

 

92,191,500 

6.23 

 

291,447,565

 

273,650,490

6.50 

Net realized capital gains

 

959,585 

 

778,019 

23.34 

 

135,356,272

 

141,848,878

(4.58)

Net investment gains (excl. subs)

$

98,899,118 

$

92,969,519 

6.38 

$

426,803,837

$

415,499,368

2.72 

Dividend from subsidiary

 

 

14,000,000 

 

-

 

14,000,000

     Net investment gains

$

98,899,118 

$

106,969,519 

(7.54)

$

426,803,837

$

429,499,368

(0.63)

           
           

     Other income

$

(514,171)

$

424,108 

(221.24)

$

2,794,180

$

1,869,864

49.43 

           

Net income before federal income taxes

$

121,221,090 

$

139,583,665 

(13.16)

$

620,639,966

$

573,679,116

8.19 

Federal and foreign income taxes incurred

$

26,567,206 

$

23,941,392 

10.97 

$

131,380,364

$

113,163,358

16.10 

     Net income (statutory)

$

94,653,884 

$

115,642,273 

(18.15)

$

459,259,602

$

460,515,758

6.24 

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National

Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

16






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Consolidated

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 24 for adjusted data)

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Net premiums written

   

$

736

 

$

810 

 

$

846

 

$

755 

 

$

780

 

$

814 

 

$

829

 

$

1,656 

 

$

1,643

 

$

2,392

 

$

2,423

    

$

3,178 

 

Net premiums earned

   

$

777

 

$

787 

 

$

785

 

$

802 

 

$

791

 

$

793 

 

$

778

 

$

1,571 

 

$

1,571

 

$

2,348

 

$

2,362

    

$

3,164 

 
                                           

Losses paid

   

$

363

 

$

379 

 

$

365

 

$

375 

 

$

366

 

$

379 

 

$

345

 

$

744 

 

$

727

 

$

1,107

 

$

1,094

    

$

1,469 

 

Loss reserve change

    

69

  

(15)

  

6

  

  

66

  

60 

  

42

  

(9)

  

101

  

60

  

168

     

172 

 

   Total losses incurred

   

$

432

 

$

364 

 

$

371

 

$

379 

 

$

432

 

$

439 

 

$

387

 

$

735 

 

$

828

 

$

1,167

 

$

1,262

    

$

1,641 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

    

29

  

34 

  

31

  

37 

  

33

  

31 

  

28

  

65 

  

59

  

94

  

91

     

127 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

    

15

  

16 

  

8

  

35 

  

8

  

  

6

  

24 

  

13

  

39

  

20

     

56 

 

   Total allocated loss expense incurred

   

$

44

 

$

50 

 

$

39

 

$

72 

 

$

41

 

$

38 

 

$

34

 

$

89 

 

$

72

 

$

133

 

$

111

    

$

183 

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

    

44

  

41 

  

46

  

49 

  

39

  

39 

  

40

  

86 

  

78

  

131

  

117

     

167 

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

    

4

  

  

2

  

  

4

  

  

10

  

  

12

  

6

  

15

     

17 

 

   Total unallocated loss expense incurred

   

$

48

 

$

42 

 

$

48

 

$

51 

 

$

43

 

$

42 

 

$

50

 

$

89 

 

$

90

 

$

137

 

$

132

    

$

184 

 

   Underwriting expenses incurred

    

230

  

242 

  

248

  

251 

  

243

  

232 

  

240

  

490 

  

471

  

720

  

715

     

965 

 

   Underwriting profit (loss)

   

$

23

 

$

89 

 

$

79

 

$

49 

 

$

32

 

$

42 

 

$

67

 

$

168 

 

$

110

 

$

191

 

$

142

    

$

191 

 
                        & nbsp;                  

Loss Detail

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

   

$

80

 

$

43 

 

$

50

 

$

63 

 

$

60

 

$

46 

 

$

32

 

$

93 

 

$

79

 

$

173

 

$

139

    

$

203 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

47

  

46 

  

48

  

43 

  

49

  

48 

  

38

  

92 

  

86

  

140

  

135

     

178 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

    

51

  

49 

  

53

  

64 

  

49

  

52 

  

49

  

102 

  

102

  

152

  

151

     

215 

 

   Large losses subtotal

   

$

178

 

$

138 

 

$

151

 

$

170 

 

$

158

 

$

146 

 

$

119

 

$

287 

 

$

267

 

$

465

 

$

425

    

$

596 

 

IBNR incurred

    

-

  

  

7

  

(57)

  

11

  

(5)

  

6

  

15 

  

1

  

15

  

11

     

(47)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

    

13

  

11 

  

3

  

44 

  

27

  

64 

  

39

  

15 

  

103

  

28

  

131

     

175 

 

Remaining incurred

    

241

  

208 

  

210

  

222 

  

237

  

234 

  

223

  

418 

  

457

  

658

  

695

     

917 

 

   Total losses incurred

   

$

432

 

$

364 

 

$

371

 

$

379 

 

$

433

 

$

439 

 

$

387

 

$

735 

 

$

828

 

$

1,166

 

$

1,262

    

$

1,641 

 
                        & nbsp;                  

Ratio Data

                                          

Loss ratio

    

55.6

%

 

46.3 

%

 

47.2

%

 

47.2 

%

 

54.8

%

 

55.4 

%

 

49.9

%

 

46.8 

%

 

52.7

%

 

49.7

%

 

53.4

%

    

51.9 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

    

5.7

  

6.3 

  

5.0

  

9.0 

  

5.0

  

4.8 

  

4.3

  

5.7 

  

4.6

  

5.7

  

4.7

     

5.8 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

    

6.1

  

5.3 

  

6.1

  

6.4 

  

5.4

  

5.1 

  

6.4

  

5.7 

  

5.7

  

5.8

  

5.6

     

5.8 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

    

31.3

  

29.8 

  

29.4

  

33.3 

  

31.2

  

28.4 

  

29.0

  

29.5 

  

28.7

  

30.1

  

29.5

     

30.4 

 

   Statutory combined ratio

    

98.7

%

 

87.7 

%

 

87.7

%

 

95.9 

%

 

96.4

%

 

93.7 

%

 

89.6

%

 

87.7 

%

 

91.7

%

 

91.3

%

 

93.2

%

    

93.9 

%

   Statutory combined ratio excluding
     catastrophes

    

97.0

%

 

86.3 

%

 

87.3

%

 

90.4 

%

 

92.9

%

 

85.7 

%

 

84.6

%

 

86.8 

%

 

85.2

%

 

90.1

%

 

87.7

%

    

88.4 

%

                        & nbsp;                  

Loss Ratio

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

    

10.4

%

 

5.4 

%

 

6.4

%

 

7.9 

%

 

7.6

%

 

6.0 

%

 

4.2

%

 

5.9 

%

 

5.1

%

 

7.4

%

 

5.9

%

    

6.4 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

6.1

  

5.8 

  

6.0

  

5.3 

  

6.2

  

6.0 

  

4.9

  

5.9 

  

5.5

  

6.0

  

5.7

     

5.6 

 

Development and case reserve increases
   of $250,000 or more

    

6.4

  

6.2 

  

6.8

  

8.0 

  

6.3

  

7.4 

  

6.3

  

6.5 

  

6.9

  

6.4

  

6.4

     

6.8 

 

   Large losses subtotal

    

22.9

%

 

17.4 

%

 

19.2

%

 

21.2 

%

 

20.1

%

 

19.4 

%

 

15.4

%

 

18.3 

%

 

17.5

%

 

19.8

%

 

18.0

%

    

18.8 

%

IBNR incurred

    

-

  

0.9 

  

1.0

  

(7.2)

  

1.3

  

1.3 

  

0.8

  

0.9 

  

1.1

  

0.6

  

0.5

     

(1.4)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

    

1.7

  

1.4 

  

0.4

  

5.5 

  

3.5

  

8.0 

  

5.0

  

0.9 

  

6.5

  

1.2

  

5.5

     

5.5 

 

Remaining incurred

    

31.0

  

26.6 

  

26.6

  

27.7 

  

29.9

  

26.7 

  

28.7

  

26.7 

  

27.6

  

28.1

  

29.4

     

29.0 

 

   Total loss ratio

    

55.6

%

 

46.3 

%

 

47.2

%

 

47.2 

%

 

54.8

%

 

55.4 

%

 

49.9

%

 

46.8 

%

 

52.7

%

 

49.7

%

 

53.4

%

    

51.9 

%

                        & nbsp;                  

Loss Claim Count

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

    

38

  

26 

  

28

  

33 

  

32

  

26 

  

14

  

54 

  

40

  

92

  

72

     

105 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

111

  

104 

  

108

  

97 

  

103

  

88 

  

95

  

212 

  

183

  

323

  

286

     

383 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

    

93

  

82 

  

93

  

94 

  

104

  

85 

  

85

  

175 

  

170

  

268

  

274

     

368 

 

   Large losses total

    

242

  

212 

  

229

  

224 

  

239

  

199 

  

194

  

441 

  

393

  

683

  

632

     

856 

 
 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*NM - Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

17






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Commercial Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 25 for adjusted data)

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Net premiums written

   

$

544

 

$

613 

 

$

693

 

$

589 

 

$

582

 

$

603 

 

$

668

 

$

1,306

 

$

1,271

 

$

1,851

 

$

1,853

    

$

2,442 

 

Net premiums earned

   

$

600

 

$

607 

 

$

604

 

$

619 

 

$

602

 

$

599 

 

$

582

 

$

1,210

 

$

1,181

 

$

1,810

 

$

1,783

    

$

2,402 

 
                                           

Losses paid

   

$

253

 

$

270 

 

$

260

 

$

256 

 

$

247

 

$

251 

 

$

233

 

$

530

 

$

485

 

$

783

 

$

732

    

$

988 

 

Loss reserve change

    

66

  

(12)

  

23

  

  

63

  

53 

  

53

  

11

  

105

  

77

  

169

     

174 

 

  Total losses incurred

   

$

319

 

$

258 

 

$

283

 

$

261 

 

$

310

 

$

304 

 

$

286

 

$

541

 

$

590

 

$

860

 

$

901

    

$

1,162 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

    

26

  

30 

  

28

  

33 

  

30

  

28 

  

24

  

58

  

52

  

84

  

81

     

114 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

    

16

  

16 

  

8

  

37 

  

7

  

  

5

  

24

  

12

  

40

  

19

     

56 

 

  Total allocated loss expense incurred

   

$

42

 

$

46 

 

$

36

 

$

70 

 

$

37

 

$

34 

 

$

29

 

$

82

 

$

64

 

$

124

 

$

100

    

$

170 

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

    

31

  

30 

  

32

  

34 

  

27

  

27 

  

28

  

62

  

54

  

93

  

81

     

116 

 

Unallocated loss  expense reserve change

    

4

  

  

3

  

  

3

  

  

10

  

4

  

13

  

8

  

15

     

18 

 

  Total unallocated loss expense incurred

   

$

35

 

$

31 

 

$

35

 

$

37 

 

$

30

 

$

30 

 

$

38

 

$

66

 

$

67

 

$

101

 

$

96

    

$

134 

 

  Underwriting expenses incurred

    

170

  

179 

  

193

  

194 

  

185

  

172 

  

179

  

372

  

349

  

542

  

536

     

727 

 

  Underwriting profit (loss)

   

$

34

 

$

93 

 

$

57

 

$

57 

 

$

40

 

$

59 

 

$

50

 

$

149

 

$

111

 

$

183

 

$

150

    

$

209 

 
                        & nbsp;                  

Loss Detail

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

   

$

72

 

$

36 

 

$

45

 

$

59 

 

$

51

 

$

40 

 

$

30

 

$

81

 

$

70

 

$

153

 

$

121

    

$

180 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

37

  

34 

  

38

  

35 

  

37

  

39 

  

28

  

71

  

67

  

108

  

104

     

139 

 

Development and case reserve increases
 of $250,000 or more

    

46

  

46 

  

49

  

58 

  

45

  

45 

  

44

  

95

  

90

  

141

  

135

     

193 

 

  Large losses subtotal

   

$

155

 

$

116 

 

$

132

 

$

152 

 

$

133

 

$

124 

 

$

102

 

$

247

 

$

227

 

$

402

 

$

360

    

$

512 

 

IBNR incurred

    

-

  

  

7

  

(45)

  

10

  

(6)

  

6

  

14

  

-

  

14

  

10

     

(36)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

    

1

  

  

10

  

11 

  

14

  

34 

  

29

  

16

  

63

  

17

  

77

     

89 

 

Remaining incurred

    

163

  

131 

  

134

  

143 

  

153

  

152 

  

149

  

264

  

300

  

427

  

454

     

597 

 

  Total losses incurred

   

$

319

 

$

258 

 

$

283

 

$

261 

 

$

310

 

$

304 

 

$

286

 

$

541

 

$

590

 

$

860

 

$

901

    

$

1,162 

 
                        & nbsp;                  

Ratio Data

                                          

Loss ratio

    

53.2

%

 

42.6 

%

 

46.8

%

 

42.2 

%

 

51.5

%

 

50.7 

%

 

49.2

%

 

44.7

%

 

50.0

%

 

47.5

%

 

50.5

%

    

48.4 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

    

7.0

  

7.6 

  

5.9

  

11.3 

  

6.0

  

5.7 

  

5.1

  

6.8

  

5.4

  

6.8

  

5.6

     

7.1 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

    

5.8

  

5.1 

  

6.0

  

6.0 

  

5.0

  

4.9 

  

6.5

  

5.5

  

5.7

  

5.6

  

5.4

     

5.5 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

    

31.3

  

29.1 

  

27.8

  

32.9 

  

31.6

  

28.3 

  

26.7

  

28.4

  

27.5

  

29.3

  

28.8

     

29.8 

 

  Statutory combined ratio

    

97.3

%

 

84.4 

%

 

86.5

%

 

92.4 

%

 

94.1

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5

%

 

85.4

%

 

88.6

%

 

89.2

%

 

90.3

%

    

90.8 

%

  Statutory combined ratio excluding
    catastrophes

    

97.1

%

 

83.6 

%

 

84.7

%

 

90.5 

%

 

91.8

%

 

84.0 

%

 

82.4

%

 

84.1

%

 

83.3

%

 

88.3

%

 

86.0

%

    

87.1 

%

                        & nbsp;                  

Loss Ratio

                                          

Losses $1 million or more

    

12.0

%

 

5.9 

%

 

7.4

%

 

9.6 

%

 

8.5

%

 

6.6 

%

 

5.2

%

 

6.7

%

 

5.9

%

 

8.4

%

 

6.8

%

    

7.5 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

6.2

  

5.6 

  

6.2

  

5.6 

  

6.1

  

6.5 

  

4.8

  

5.9

  

5.7

  

6.0

  

5.8

     

5.8 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

    

7.6

  

7.6 

  

8.2

  

9.4 

  

7.5

  

7.6 

  

7.6

  

7.9

  

7.6

  

7.8

  

7.6

     

8.0 

 

  Large losses subtotal

    

25.8

%

 

19.1 

%

 

21.8

%

 

24.6 

%

 

22.1

%

 

20.7 

%

 

17.6

%

 

20.5

%

 

19.2

%

 

22.2

%

 

20.2

%

    

21.3 

%

IBNR incurred

    

-

  

1.0 

  

1.2

  

(7.3)

  

1.7

  

(1.0)

  

1.0

  

1.1

  

-

  

0.8

  

0.6

     

(1.5)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

    

0.2

  

0.8 

  

1.8

  

1.9 

  

2.3

  

5.6 

  

5.1

  

1.3

  

5.3

  

0.9

  

4.3

     

3.7 

 

Remaining incurred

    

27.2

  

21.7 

  

22.0

  

23.0 

  

25.4

  

25.4 

  

25.5

  

21.8

  

25.5

  

23.6

  

25.4

     

24.9 

 

  Total loss ratio

    

53.2

%

 

42.6 

%

 

46.8

%

 

42.2 

%

 

51.5

%

 

50.7 

%

 

49.2

%

 

44.7

%

 

50.0

%

 

47.5

%

 

50.5

%

    

48.4 

%

 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*NM - Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

18






Cincinnati Insurance Group - Personal Lines

Statutory Quarterly Analysis

(Based on reported data - see Page 26 for adjusted data)

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Net premiums written

   

$

192 

 

$

197 

 

$

153 

 

$

166 

 

$

198 

 

$

211 

 

$

161 

 

$

350 

 

$

372 

 

$

541 

 

$

570 

    

$

736 

 

Net premiums earned

   

$

177 

 

$

180 

 

$

181 

 

$

183 

 

$

189 

 

$

194 

 

$

196 

 

$

361 

 

$

390 

 

$

538 

 

$

579 

    

$

762 

 
                         &nbs p;                 

Losses paid

   

$

110 

 

$

109 

 

$

105 

 

$

119 

 

$

119 

 

$

128 

 

$

112 

 

$

214 

 

$

242 

 

$

324 

 

$

362 

    

$

481 

 

Loss reserve change

    

  

(3)

  

(17)

  

(1)

  

  

  

(11)

  

(20)

  

(4)

  

(17)

  

(1)

     

(2)

 

  Total losses incurred

   

$

113 

 

$

106 

 

$

88 

 

$

118 

 

$

122 

 

$

135 

 

$

101 

 

$

194 

 

$

238 

 

$

307 

 

$

361 

    

$

479 

 

Allocated loss expense paid

    

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

10 

  

10 

     

13 

 

Allocated loss expense reserve change

    

(1)

     

  

(2)

  

  

  

  

  

  

(1)

  

     

 

  Total allocated loss expense incurred

   

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

11 

    

$

13 

 

Unallocated loss expense paid

    

13 

  

11 

  

14 

  

15 

  

12 

  

12 

  

12 

  

24 

  

24 

  

38 

  

36 

     

51 

 

Unallocated loss expense reserve change

    

  

  

(1)

  

(1)

  

  

  

  

(1)

  

(1)

  

(2)

  

     

(1)

 

  Total unallocated loss expense incurred

   

$

13 

 

$

11 

 

$

13 

 

$

14 

 

$

13 

 

$

12 

 

$

12 

 

$

23 

 

$

23 

 

$

36 

 

$

36 

    

$

50 

 

  Underwriting expenses incurred

    

60 

  

63 

  

55 

  

57 

  

58 

  

60 

  

61 

  

118 

  

122 

  

178 

  

179 

     

238 

 

  Underwriting profit (loss)

   

$

(11)

 

$

(4)

 

$

22 

 

$

(8)

 

$

(8)

 

$

(17)

 

$

17 

 

$

19 

 

$

(1)

 

$

 

$

(8)

    

$

(18)

 
                                           

Loss Detail

                                           

Losses $1 million or more

   

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

12 

 

$

 

$

21 

 

$

18 

    

$

23 

 

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

10 

  

12 

  

10 

  

  

12 

  

  

10 

  

21 

  

19 

  

31 

  

31 

     

39 

 

Development and case reserve increases

  of $250,000 or more

    

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

12 

  

12 

  

16 

     

22 

 

 Large losses subtotal

   

$

23 

 

$

22 

 

$

19 

 

$

18 

 

$

25 

 

$

22 

 

$

17 

 

$

40 

 

$

40 

 

$

64 

 

$

65 

    

$

84 

 

IBNR incurred

    

  

  

  

(12)

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

     

(11)

 

Catastrophe losses incurred

    

12 

  

  

(7)

  

33 

  

13 

  

30 

  

10 

  

(1)

  

40 

  

11 

  

54 

     

86 

 

Remaining incurred

    

78 

  

77 

  

76 

  

79 

  

84 

  

82 

  

74 

  

154 

  

157 

  

231 

  

241 

     

320 

 

  Total losses incurred

   

$

113 

 

$

106 

 

$

88 

 

$

118 

 

$

123 

 

$

135 

 

$

101 

 

$

194 

 

$

238 

 

$

307 

 

$

361 

    

$

479 

 
                                           

Ratio Data

                                           

Loss ratio

    

63.8 

%

 

58.7 

%

 

48.9 

%

 

64.4 

%

 

65.1 

%

 

70.0 

%

 

52.2 

%

 

53.8 

%

 

61.1 

%

 

57.1 

%

 

62.4 

%

    

62.9 

%

Allocated loss expense ratio

    

1.4 

  

1.9 

  

1.8 

  

1.2 

  

1.9 

  

2.1 

  

1.7 

  

1.9 

  

1.9 

  

1.7 

  

2.0 

     

1.7 

 

Unallocated loss expense ratio

    

7.3 

  

6.2 

  

6.6 

  

7.8 

  

6.6 

  

5.8 

  

6.2 

  

6.4 

  

6.0 

  

6.7 

  

6.1 

     

6.6 

 

Net underwriting expense ratio

    

31.1 

  

31.8 

  

36.2 

  

34.3 

  

30.4 

  

28.5 

  

38.0 

  

33.7 

  

32.6 

  

32.8 

  

31.8 

     

32.4 

 

  Statutory combined ratio

    

103.6 

%

 

98.6 

%

 

93.5 

%

 

107.7 

%

 

104.0 

%

 

106.4 

%

 

98.1 

%

 

95.8 

%

 

101.6 

%

 

98.3 

%

 

102.3 

%

    

103.6 

%

  Statutory combined ratio excluding
    catastrophes

    

96.6 

%

 

95.1 

%

 

97.6 

%

 

89.8 

%

 

96.9 

%

 

90.8 

%

 

93.1 

%

 

96.1 

%

 

91.3 

%

 

96.2 

%

 

93.1 

%

    

92.3 

%

                                           

Loss Ratio

                                           

Losses $1 million or more

    

4.8 

%

 

3.8 

%

 

3.0 

%

 

2.2 

%

 

5.0 

%

 

3.5 

%

 

1.2 

%

 

3.4 

%

 

2.3 

%

 

3.8 

%

 

3.2 

%

    

3.0 

%

Losses $250 thousand to $1 million

    

5.7 

  

6.5 

  

5.4 

  

4.5 

  

6.4 

  

4.4 

  

5.3 

  

5.9 

  

4.9 

  

5.8 

  

5.4 

     

5.2 

 

Development and case reserve increases
  of $250,000 or more

    

2.7 

  

1.5 

  

2.2 

  

3.4 

  

2.1 

  

3.5 

  

2.7 

  

1.8 

  

3.1 

  

2.2 

  

2.8 

     

2.9 

 

  Large losses subtotal

    

13.2 

%

 

11.8 

%

 

10.6 

%

 

10.1 

%

 

13.5 

%

 

11.4 

%

 

9.2 

%

 

11.1 

%

 

10.3 

%

 

11.8 

%

 

11.4 

%

    

11.1 

%

IBNR incurred

    

  

0.4 

  

  

(6.8)

  

0.1 

  

0.7 

  

  

0.2 

  

0.3 

  

0.1 

  

0.3 

     

(1.5)

 

Total catastrophe losses incurred

    

7.0 

  

3.5 

  

(4.1)

  

17.9 

  

7.1 

  

15.6 

  

5.0 

  

(0.3)

  

10.3 

  

2.1 

  

9.2 

     

11.3 

 

Remaining incurred

    

43.6 

  

43.0 

  

42.4 

  

43.2 

  

44.4 

  

42.3 

  

38.0 

  

42.8 

  

40.2 

  

43.1 

  

41.5 

     

42.0 

 

  Total loss ratio

    

63.8 

%

 

58.7 

%

 

48.9 

%

 

64.4 

%

 

65.1 

%

 

70.0 

%

 

52.2 

%

 

53.8 

%

 

61.1 

%

 

57.1 

%

 

62.4 

%

    

62.9 

%

 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

*NM - Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

19






Cincinnati Insurance Group

 Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007

(Dollars in millions)

  

9/30/2007

9/30/2006

Commercial

Personal

 Total

Comm

Comm

Comm

Workers'

Specialty

Surety &

Mach. &

Pers

Home

Other

Agency

Agency

Change

Change

 Change

Risk State

Casualty

Prop

Auto

Comp

Packages

Exec Risk

Equip

Auto

Owner

Personal

Direct

Direct

%

%

 %

                           

 

AL

$

15.8

$

12.0

$

6.3

$

1.0

$

5.2

$

1.4

$

0.4

$

11.9

$

17.1

$

3.6

$

74.7

$

69.4

12.3

2.4

7.7 

AZ

 

10.1

 

4.7

 

7.2

 

0.3

 

0.8

 

0.6

 

0.3

 

0.0

 

0.1

 

0.1

 

24.3

 

23.1

5.3

9.7

5.3 

AR

 

7.8

 

7.1

 

4.6

 

3.8

 

2.9

 

1.1

 

0.3

 

2.0

 

2.3

 

0.6

 

32.4

 

34.8

(7.6)

(3.6)

(7.0)

DE

 

0.8

 

0.5

 

0.5

 

1.5

 

0.1

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

3.4

 

2.5

37.5

232.2

34.5 

FL

 

28.7

 

19.5

 

10.2

 

1.5

 

2.4

 

1.8

 

0.7

 

9.6

 

19.0

 

2.8

 

96.2

 

91.5

1.8

12.6

5.1 

GA

 

21.9

 

15.6

 

15.4

 

10.1

 

5.4

 

5.2

 

0.6

 

24.0

 

19.8

 

5.3

 

123.2

 

120.3

5.6

(2.0)

2.4 

ID

 

7.1

 

3.0

 

3.7

 

0.0

 

0.7

 

0.7

 

0.2

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

15.5

 

13.0

19.9

(111.4)

19.8 

IL

 

60.8

 

35.6

 

23.8

 

42.7

 

10.0

 

6.2

 

2.2

 

18.4

 

14.4

 

4.8

 

218.8

 

230.3

(5.0)

(5.1)

(5.0)

IN

 

39.8

 

29.8

 

19.8

 

23.6

 

6.0

 

5.7

 

1.8

 

20.6

 

19.4

 

5.0

 

171.6

 

179.2

(3.2)

(7.2)

(4.2)

IA

 

16.8

 

11.3

 

7.1

 

18.4

 

3.5

 

2.2

 

1.1

 

3.4

 

3.3

 

1.4

 

68.5

 

69.4

(0.6)

(5.8)

(1.3)

KS

 

6.4

 

6.3

 

3.5

 

5.9

 

2.5

 

1.1

 

0.3

 

3.7

 

4.8

 

1.0

 

35.6

 

33.9

9.8

(5.9)

5.1 

KY

 

17.2

 

15.4

 

10.7

 

3.1

 

3.8

 

2.1

 

0.7

 

14.7

 

11.4

 

3.0

 

82.1

 

80.3

5.7

(3.5)

2.2 

MD

 

11.0

 

4.7

 

7.5

 

9.6

 

0.8

 

1.4

 

0.3

 

0.0

 

1.0

 

0.4

 

36.6

 

35.2

3.9

3.7

3.9 

MI

 

28.8

 

18.2

 

12.3

 

13.8

 

9.4

 

4.2

 

1.2

 

10.0

 

11.8

 

2.4

 

112.1

 

125.5

(11.1)

(9.4)

(10.7)

MN

 

20.5

 

13.1

 

8.1

 

6.7

 

3.0

 

1.8

 

0.8

 

5.0

 

4.2

 

2.5

 

65.7

 

65.3

2.0

(4.7)

0.7 

MO

 

21.8

 

15.2

 

9.4

 

14.9

 

4.0

 

1.7

 

0.9

 

2.1

 

3.2

 

0.7

 

73.9

 

69.7

8.2

(13.2)

6.1 

MT

 

10.9

 

5.5

 

5.6

 

0.1

 

0.6

 

0.3

 

0.3

 

0.0

 

0.1

 

0.0

 

23.5

 

21.2

10.9

4.1

10.8 

NE

 

5.4

 

4.1

 

2.6

 

6.0

 

1.1

 

0.8

 

0.3

 

0.8

 

0.9

 

0.3

 

22.1

 

24.1

(6.8)

(19.2)

(8.0)

NH

 

2.5

 

1.7

 

1.2

 

2.0

 

0.6

 

0.4

 

0.1

 

0.6

 

0.6

 

0.3

 

9.9

 

9.8

2.5

(7.5)

0.9 

NY

 

25.9

 

5.9

 

8.0

 

2.1

 

1.1

 

2.8

 

0.4

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

46.1

 

38.7

19.3

3.8

19.3 

NC

 

33.8

 

23.2

 

18.0

 

22.5

 

9.4

 

5.7

 

1.2

 

0.8

 

1.2

 

1.9

 

117.8

 

111.8

6.0

(8.8)

5.4 

ND

 

3.8

 

2.8

 

2.0

 

0.0

 

0.6

 

0.5

 

0.2

 

0.4

 

0.4

 

0.1

 

10.9

 

9.8

15.1

(17.1)

11.2 

OH

 

122.0

 

70.8

 

54.4

 

(0.4)

 

16.0

 

19.4

 

3.4

 

101.9

 

70.7

 

23.1

 

481.2

 

503.5

(3.8)

(5.3)

(4.4)

PA

 

37.6

 

22.3

 

22.6

 

42.0

 

7.5

 

4.6

 

1.3

 

6.2

 

5.0

 

2.6

 

151.6

 

151.1

0.2

1.8

0.3 

SC

 

11.3

 

7.0

 

6.7

 

4.4

 

1.9

 

2.0

 

0.2

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.2

 

33.8

 

31.2

8.3

25.8

8.4 

SD

 

3.4

 

2.4

 

1.8

 

3.6

 

0.3

 

0.4

 

0.2

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

12.1

 

11.8

3.3

(18.3)

3.2 

TN

 

20.5

 

14.1

 

11.9

 

10.1

 

6.4

 

3.2

 

0.8

 

6.3

 

6.6

 

2.3

 

82.2

 

80.3

1.7

5.3

2.3 

UT

 

8.5

 

3.0

 

3.9

 

0.0

 

0.3

 

1.3

 

0.2

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

17.4

 

13.2

31.3

22.5

31.2 

VT

 

3.9

 

3.0

 

2.3

 

5.7

 

0.7

 

0.5

 

0.2

 

0.7

 

0.7

 

0.2

 

17.9

 

17.2

4.4

0.0

4.0 

VA

 

26.0

 

19.4

 

17.6

 

19.1

 

3.7

 

3.9

 

0.8

 

7.8

 

6.3

 

2.2

 

106.9

 

110.1

(2.9)

(2.9)

(2.9)

WV

 

6.6

 

4.6

 

4.5

 

0.0

 

1.7

 

0.6

 

0.2

 

0.0

 

0.7

 

0.2

 

19.1

 

20.0

(4.4)

(6.2)

(4.5)

WI

 

23.4

 

14.3

 

9.7

 

20.2

 

3.5

 

1.7

 

1.3

 

7.3

 

5.8

 

2.5

 

89.7

 

93.9

(3.1)

(9.8)

(4.4)

All Other

 

4.5

 

3.4

 

2.6

 

3.7

 

0.1

 

1.0

 

0.2

 

0.0

 

0.2

 

0.0

 

15.6

 

14.6

7.1

6.7

7.1 

Total

$

665.3

$

419.3

$

325.4

$

298.0

$

116.0

$

86.4

$

23.3

$

258.3

$

231.0

$

69.4

$

2492.5

$

2505.5

0.5

(3.7)

(0.5)

Other Direct

 

0.8

 

1.4

 

0.6

 

4.8

 

0.3

 

0.0

 

0.0

 

0.6

 

2.6

 

1.4

 

12.3

 

14.8

(25.7)

16.2

(16.8)

Total Direct

$

666.1

$

420.7

$

326.1

$

302.8

$

116.3

$

86.4

$

23.3

$

258.9

$

233.6

$

70.8

$

2504.9

$

2520.3

0.3

(3.7)

(0.6)



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

20






             

Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Commercial Lines of Business

  

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 
 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

 

Commercial casualty:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

179 

 

$

218

 

$

245 

 

$

204 

 

$

196 

 

$

209

 

$

228

 

$

462 

 

$

437

 

$

641 

 

$

634

    

$

838

  

Earned premiums

    

205 

  

209

  

209 

  

219 

  

207 

  

208

  

197

  

418 

  

405

  

623 

  

613

     

831

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

63.7 

%

 

54.6

%

 

53.5 

%

 

58.8 

%

 

49.4 

%

 

51.8

%

 

51.3

%

 

54.2 

%

 

51.6

%

 

57.4 

%

 

50.8

%

    

53.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

    -

  

-

  

  

  

  

-

  

-

  

  

-

  

  

-

     

-

  

Loss and loss expenses
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

63.7 

%

 

54.6

%

 

53.5 

%

 

58.8 

%

 

49.4 

%

 

51.8

%

 

51.3

%

 

54.2 

%

 

51.6

%

 

57.4 

%

 

50.8

%

    

53.0

%

 
                                           

Commercial property:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

120 

 

$

125

 

$

138 

 

$

124 

 

$

126 

 

$

122

 

$

134

 

$

263 

 

$

256

 

$

383 

 

$

381

    

$

505

  

Earned premiums

    

125 

  

125

  

123 

  

123 

  

123 

  

123

  

121

  

248 

  

244

  

373 

  

367

     

491

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

61.5 

%

 

45.8

%

 

53.6 

%

 

47.0 

%

 

54.9 

%

 

55.8

%

 

72.6

%

 

49.7 

%

 

64.2

%

 

53.7 

%

 

61.0

%

    

57.5

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

(1.4)

  

3.2

  

6.9 

  

7.1 

  

9.9 

  

15.9

  

22.7

  

5.0 

  

19.3

  

2.9 

  

16.1

     

13.9

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

62.9 

%

 

42.6

%

 

46.7 

%

 

39.9 

%

 

45.0 

%

 

39.9

%

 

49.9

%

 

44.7 

%

 

44.9

%

 

50.8 

%

 

44.9

%

    

43.6

%

 
                                           

Commercial auto:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

92 

 

$

112

 

$

124 

 

$

105 

 

$

105 

 

$

115

 

$

126

 

$

236 

 

$

240

 

$

329 

 

$

345

    

$

450

  

Earned premiums

    

108 

  

110

  

113 

  

116 

  

113 

  

112

  

112

  

223 

  

224

  

331 

  

337

     

453

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

66.9 

%

 

62.9

%

 

64.6 

%

 

58.5 

%

 

72.8 

%

 

57.0

%

 

57.7

%

 

63.4 

%

 

57.4

%

 

64.5 

%

 

62.5

%

    

61.5

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

0.4 

  

-

  

(0.2)

  

0.6 

  

(0.5)

  

3.1

  

0.6

  

  

1.9

  

0.1 

  

1.0

     

0.9

  

Loss and loss expenses
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

66.5 

%

 

62.9

%

 

64.8 

%

 

57.9 

%

 

73.3 

%

 

53.9

%

 

57.1

%

 

63.4 

%

 

55.5

%

 

64.4 

%

 

61.5

%

    

60.6

%

 
                                           

Workers' compensation:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

84 

 

$

92

 

$

113 

 

$

91 

 

$

85 

 

$

91

 

$

111

 

$

206 

 

$

203

 

$

289 

 

$

288

    

$

379

  

Earned premiums

    

94 

  

95

  

92 

  

95 

  

93 

  

90

  

88

  

187 

  

178

  

280 

  

271

     

366

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

82.0 

%

 

66.8

%

 

76.5 

%

 

89.3 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

83.1

%

 

78.6

%

 

71.5 

%

 

80.8

%

 

75.0 

%

 

84.1

%

    

85.4

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

  

-

  

  

  

  

-

  

-

  

  

-

  

  

-

     

-

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

82.0 

%

 

66.8

%

 

76.5 

%

 

89.3 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

83.1

%

 

78.6

%

 

71.5 

%

 

80.8

%

 

75.0 

%

 

84.1

%

    

85.4

%

 
                                           

Specialty package:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

34 

 

$

36

 

$

41 

 

$

35 

 

$

35 

 

$

34

 

$

40

 

$

77 

 

$

74

 

$

110 

 

$

109

    

$

144

  

Earned premiums

    

36 

  

37

  

36 

  

35 

  

35 

  

35

  

36

  

73 

  

71

  

109 

  

106

     

141

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

76.7 

%

 

49.9

%

 

69.6 

%

 

44.9 

%

 

74.2 

%

 

82.1

%

 

64.3

%

 

59.6 

%

 

73.1

%

 

65.3 

%

 

73.5

%

    

66.3

%

 

Less Catastrophe loss ratio

    

6.2 

  

2.6

  

7.0 

  

5.8 

  

7.1 

  

29.2

  

3.6

  

4.7 

  

16.2

  

5.2 

  

13.3

     

11.4

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

70.5 

%

 

47.3

%

 

62.6 

%

 

39.1 

%

 

67.1 

%

 

52.9

%

 

60.7

%

 

54.9 

%

 

56.9

%

 

60.1 

%

 

60.2

%

    

54.9

%

 
                                           

Surety and executive risk:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

28 

 

$

23

 

$

25 

 

$

23 

 

$

28 

 

$

24

 

$

22

 

$

48 

 

$

46

 

$

76 

 

$

74

    

$

97

  

Earned premiums

    

25 

  

24

  

24 

  

24 

  

24 

  

24

  

21

  

47 

  

45

  

73 

  

69

     

93

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

36.5 

%

 

49.3

%

 

24.0 

%

 

36.3 

%

 

47.3 

%

 

89.6

%

 

26.5

%

 

36.7 

%

 

60.1

%

 

36.7 

%

 

55.6

%

    

50.7

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

  

-

  

  

  

  

-

  

-

  

  

-

  

  

-

     

-

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

36.5 

%

 

49.3

%

 

24.0 

%

 

36.3 

%

 

47.3 

%

 

89.6

%

 

26.5

%

 

36.7 

%

 

60.1

%

 

36.7 

%

 

55.6

%

    

50.7

%

 
                                           

Machinery and equipment:

                                          

Written premiums

   

$

 

$

7

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

8

 

$

7

 

$

14 

 

$

15

 

$

22 

 

$

22

    

$

29

  

Earned premiums

    

  

7

  

  

  

  

7

  

7

  

14 

  

14

  

21 

  

20

     

27

  

Loss and loss expense ratio

    

34.7 

%

 

20.4

%

 

28.2 

%

 

62.4 

%

 

45.2 

%

 

27.0

%

 

32.2

%

 

24.3 

%

 

29.6

%

 

27.8 

%

 

34.8

%

    

42.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

1.3 

  

-

  

(1.6)

  

(0.5)

  

2.1 

  

-

  

-

  

(0.8)

  

0.1

  

(0.1)

  

0.8

     

0.4

  

Loss and loss expense
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

33.4 

%

 

20.4

%

 

29.8 

%

 

62.9 

%

 

43.1 

%

 

27.0

%

 

32.2

%

 

25.1 

%

 

29.5

%

 

27.9 

%

 

34.0

%

    

41.6

%

 
 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is

computed independently.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

21






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Personal Lines of Business

  

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 
 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

 

Personal auto:

                         & nbsp;                 

Written premiums

   

$

92

 

$

93 

 

$

72 

 

$

79

 

$

96

 

$

104

 

$

79

 

$

164 

 

$

184

 

$

256 

 

$

279

    

$

359

  

Earned premiums

    

85

  

86 

  

88 

  

91

  

95

  

98

  

101

  

174 

  

199

  

259 

  

294

     

385

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

67.7

%

 

67.6 

%

 

66.5 

%

 

74.3

%

 

60.6

%

 

65.8

%

 

60.1

%

 

67.1 

%

 

62.9

%

 

67.3 

%

 

62.2

%

    

65.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

0.7

  

(0.3)

  

(2.3)

  

5.7

  

1.4

  

3.6

  

0.8

  

(1.3)

  

2.2

  

(0.6)

  

2.0

     

2.8

  

Loss and loss expenses
  excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

67.0

%

 

67.9 

%

 

68.8 

%

 

68.6

%

 

59.2

%

 

62.2

%

 

59.3

%

 

68.4 

%

 

60.7

%

 

67.9 

%

 

60.2

%

    

62.2

%

 
                                            

Homeowner:

                         & nbsp;                 

Written premiums

   

$

77

 

$

80 

 

$

61 

 

$

66

 

$

79

 

$

83

 

$

62

 

$

141 

 

$

144

 

$

218 

 

$

224

    

$

290

  

Earned premiums

    

70

  

72 

  

71 

  

70

  

72

  

74

  

73

  

143 

  

146

  

214 

  

219

     

289

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

82.7

%

 

66.9 

%

 

50.0 

%

 

80.8

%

 

93.9

%

 

93.1

%

 

64.0

%

 

58.5 

%

 

78.6

%

 

66.5 

%

 

83.7

%

    

83.0

%

 

Less catastrophe loss ratio

    

15.6

  

8.3 

  

(7.5)

  

36.0

  

15.0

  

33.1

  

11.1

  

0.4 

  

22.1

  

5.4 

  

19.8

     

23.7

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

67.1

%

 

58.6 

%

 

57.5 

%

 

44.8

%

 

78.9

%

 

60.0

%

 

52.9

%

 

58.1 

%

 

56.5

%

 

61.1 

%

 

63.9

%

    

59.3

%

 
                                            

Other personal:

                         & nbsp;                 

Written premiums

   

$

23

 

$

24 

 

$

20 

 

$

21

 

$

23

 

$

24

 

$

20

 

$

44 

 

$

44

 

$

67 

 

$

67

    

$

87

  

Earned premiums

    

22

  

22 

  

22 

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

22

  

43 

  

45

  

65 

  

66

     

88

  

Loss and loss expenses ratio

    

57.9

%

 

62.8 

%

 

43.4 

%

 

45.6

%

 

63.3

%

 

80.9

%

 

47.4

%

 

53.1 

%

 

64.2

%

 

54.7 

%

 

63.9

%

    

59.4

%

 

Less Catastrophe loss ratio

    

3.7

  

3.5 

  

(0.1)

  

9.9

  

5.2

  

10.8

  

3.8

  

1.3 

  

7.4

  

2.0 

  

6.6

     

7.4

  

Loss and loss expenses
 excluding catastrophe loss ratio

    

54.2

%

 

59.3 

%

 

43.5 

%

 

35.7

%

 

58.1

%

 

70.1

%

 

43.6

%

 

51.8 

%

 

56.8

%

 

52.7 

%

 

57.3

%

    

52.0

%

 
 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full

year as each is computed independently.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

22






Cincinnati Insurance Company

Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis

                   

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

 

Twelve months ended

 
 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

All Lines

                                          

Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

Loss and loss expenses - current AY

   

$

558 

 

$

484 

 

$

472 

 

$

539 

 

$

526 

 

$

468 

 

$

414 

 

$

956 

 

$

882 

 

$

1,515 

 

$

1,407 

    

$

1,947 

 

Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

    

(47)

  

(40)

  

(18)

  

(81)

  

(37)

  

(13)

  

18 

  

(58)

  

  

(106)

  

(32)

     

(113)

 

Catastrophes - current AY

    

15 

  

15 

  

17 

  

42 

  

29 

  

67 

  

38 

  

31 

  

105 

  

48 

  

134 

     

176 

 

Catastrophes - prior AY's

    

(2)

  

(4)

  

(13)

  

  

(2)

  

(3)

  

  

(17)

  

(2)

  

(20)

  

(4)

     

(2)

 

Total

   

$

524 

 

$

455 

 

$

458 

 

$

502 

 

$

516 

 

$

519 

 

$

471 

 

$

912 

 

$

990 

 

$

1,437 

 

$

1,505 

    

$

2,008 

 

Ratio to Earned Premiums

                                          

Loss and loss expenses :

                                          

Loss and loss expenses - current AY

    

71.8 

%

 

61.6 

%

 

60.2 

%

 

67.2 

%

 

66.4 

%

 

59.1 

%

 

53.2 

%

 

60.9 

%

 

56.2 

%

 

64.5 

%

 

59.7 

%

    

61.6 

%

Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

    

(6.1)

  

(5.1)

  

(2.3)

  

(10.1)

  

(4.7)

  

(1.7)

  

2.4 

  

(3.7)

  

0.3 

  

(4.5)

  

(1.3)

     

(3.6)

 

Catastrophes - current AY

    

2.0 

  

1.9 

  

2.1 

  

5.2 

  

3.7 

  

8.5 

  

4.9 

  

2.0 

  

6.7 

  

2.0 

  

5.7 

     

5.6 

 

Catastrophes - prior AY's

    

(0.3)

  

(0.5)

  

(1.7)

  

0.2 

  

(0.2)

  

(0.5)

  

0.2 

  

(1.1)

  

(0.2)

  

(0.9)

  

(0.2)

     

(0.1)

 

Total

    

67.4 

%

 

57.9 

%

 

58.3 

%

 

62.5 

%

 

65.2 

%

 

65.4 

%

 

60.7 

%

 

58.1 

%

 

63.0 

%

 

61.1 

%

 

63.9 

%

    

63.5 

%

                                            

Commercial Lines

                                          

Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

Loss and loss expenses - current AY

   

$

433 

 

$

370 

 

$

357 

 

$

421 

 

$

396 

 

$

349 

 

$

310 

 

$

727 

 

$

659 

 

$

1,159 

 

$

1,054 

    

$

1,476 

 

Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

    

(38)

  

(40)

  

(13)

  

(64)

  

(33)

  

(15)

  

14 

  

(53)

  

(1)

  

(91)

  

(34)

     

(98)

 

Catastrophes - current AY

    

  

  

13 

  

  

15 

  

35 

  

28 

  

21 

  

63 

  

27 

  

78 

     

87 

 

Catastrophes - prior AY's

    

(4)

  

(3)

  

(3)

  

  

(1)

  

(1)

  

  

(6)

  

  

(10)

  

(1)

     

 

Total

   

$

396 

 

$

335 

 

$

354 

 

$

368 

 

$

377 

 

$

368 

 

$

353 

 

$

689 

 

$

721 

 

$

1,085 

 

$

1,097 

    

$

1,466 

 

Ratio to Earned Premiums

                                          

Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

Loss and loss expenses - current AY

    

72.2 

%

 

60.9 

%

 

59.0 

%

 

68.1 

%

 

65.7 

%

 

58.3 

%

 

53.3 

%

 

60.0 

%

 

55.8 

%

 

64.0 

%

 

59.2 

%

    

61.4 

%

Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

    

(6.4)

  

(6.5)

  

(2.1)

  

(10.3)

  

(5.5)

  

(2.5)

  

2.5 

  

(4.3)

  

0.0 

  

(5.0)

  

(1.9)

     

(4.1)

 

Catastrophes - current AY

    

0.9 

  

1.4 

  

2.2 

  

1.5 

  

2.5 

  

5.9 

  

4.8 

  

1.8 

  

5.4 

  

1.6 

  

4.4 

     

3.6 

 

Catastrophes - prior AY's

    

(0.7)

  

(0.5)

  

(0.4)

  

0.3 

  

(0.2)

  

(0.4)

  

0.2 

  

(0.5)

  

(0.1)

  

(0.6)

  

(0.1)

     

 

Total

    

66.0 

%

 

55.3 

%

 

58.7 

%

 

59.6 

%

 

62.5 

%

 

61.3 

%

 

60.8 

%

 

57.0 

%

 

61.1 

%

 

60.0 

%

 

61.6 

%

    

60.9 

%

                                            

Personal Lines

                                          

Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

Loss and loss expenses - current AY

   

$

125 

 

$

114 

 

$

115 

 

$

118 

 

$

130 

 

$

119 

 

$

104 

 

$

229 

 

$

223 

 

$

356 

 

$

353 

    

$

471 

 

Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

    

(9)

  

  

(5)

  

(17)

  

(4)

  

  

  

(5)

  

  

(15)

  

     

(15)

 

Catastrophes - current AY

    

10 

  

  

  

33 

  

14 

  

32 

  

10 

  

10 

  

42 

  

21 

  

56 

     

89 

 

Catastrophes - prior AY's

    

  

(1)

  

(10)

  

  

(1)

  

(2)

  

  

(11)

  

(2)

  

(10)

  

(3)

     

(3)

 

Total

   

$

128 

 

$

120 

 

$

104 

 

$

134 

 

$

139 

 

$

151 

 

$

118 

 

$

223 

 

$

269 

 

$

352 

 

$

408 

    

$

542 

 

Ratio to Earned Premiums

                                          

Loss and loss expenses:

                                          

Loss and loss expenses - current AY

    

70.5 

%

 

63.3 

%

 

64.4 

%

 

64.9 

%

 

68.8 

%

 

61.5 

%

 

53.1 

%

 

63.8 

%

 

57.3 

%

 

66.1 

%

 

61.0 

%

    

61.9 

%

Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's

    

(5.1)

  

  

(3.0)

  

(9.4)

  

(2.2)

  

0.8 

  

2.0 

  

(1.5)

  

1.4 

  

(2.8)

  

0.3 

     

(2.0)

 

Catastrophes - current AY

    

5.9 

  

3.8 

  

2.0 

  

18.2 

  

7.4 

  

16.4 

  

5.1 

  

2.9 

  

10.7 

  

3.9 

  

9.7 

     

11.7 

 

Catastrophes - prior AY's

    

1.1 

  

(0.3)

  

(6.1)

  

(0.3)

  

(0.3)

  

(0.8)

  

(0.1)

  

(3.2)

  

(0.4)

  

(1.8)

  

(0.5)

     

(0.4)

 

Total

    

72.4 

%

 

66.8 

%

 

57.3 

%

 

73.4 

%

 

73.7 

%

 

77.9 

%

 

60.1 

%

 

62.0 

%

 

69.0 

%

 

65.4 

%

 

70.5 

%

    

71.2 

%



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

23






Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Premiums

                                          

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

779 

 

$

808 

 

$

811 

 

$

785 

 

$

787 

 

$

804 

 

$

796 

 

$

1,619 

 

$

1,600 

 

$

2,399 

 

$

2,387 

    

$

3,172 

 

   Written premium adjustment –

     statutory only

    

(43)

  

  

35 

  

(30)

  

(7)

  

10 

  

33 

  

37 

  

43 

  

(6)

  

36 

     

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

736 

 

$

810 

 

$

846 

 

$

755 

 

$

780 

 

$

814 

 

$

829 

 

$

1,656 

 

$

1,643 

 

$

2,392 

 

$

2,423 

    

$

3,178 

 

   Unearned premiums change

    

41 

  

(23)

  

(61)

  

47 

  

11 

  

(21)

  

(51)

  

(85)

  

(72)

  

(44)

  

(61)

     

(14)

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

777 

 

$

787 

 

$

785 

 

$

802 

 

$

791 

 

$

793 

 

$

778 

 

$

1,571 

 

$

1,571 

 

$

2,348 

 

$

2,362 

    

$

3,164 

 
                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                          

   Statutory combined ratio

    

98.7 

%

 

87.7 

%

 

87.7 

%

 

95.9 

%

 

96.4 

%

 

93.7 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.7 

%

 

91.7 

%

 

91.3 

%

 

93.2 

%

    

93.9 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

    

1.7 

  

1.4 

  

0.4 

  

5.5 

  

3.5 

  

8.0 

  

5.0 

  

0.9 

  

6.5 

  

1.2 

  

5.5 

     

5.5 

 

   Statutory combined ratio
     excluding catastrophe losses

    

97.0 

%

 

86.3 

%

 

87.3 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

92.9 

%

 

85.7 

%

 

84.6 

%

 

86.8 

%

 

85.2 

%

 

90.1 

%

 

87.7 

%

    

88.4 

%

                                           

   Commission expense ratio

    

18.1 

%

 

18.1 

%

 

18.0 

%

 

19.9 

%

 

19.3 

%

 

17.6 

%

 

18.2 

%

 

18.0 

%

 

17.9 

%

 

18.0 

%

 

18.3 

%

    

18.7 

%

   Other expense ratio

    

13.2 

  

11.7 

  

11.4 

  

13.4 

  

11.9 

  

10.8 

  

10.8 

  

11.6 

  

10.8 

  

12.1 

  

11.2 

     

11.7 

 

   Statutory expense ratio

    

31.3 

%

 

29.8 

%

 

29.4 

%

 

33.3 

%

 

31.2 

%

 

28.4 

%

 

29.0 

%

 

29.6 

%

 

28.7 

%

 

30.1 

%

 

29.5 

%

    

30.4 

%

                                     &nb sp;     

GAAP combined ratio

                                          

   GAAP combined ratio

    

97.3 

%

 

88.6 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

94.5 

%

 

96.1 

%

 

94.5 

%

 

92.0 

%

 

89.1 

%

 

93.3 

%

 

91.8 

%

 

94.2 

%

    

94.3 

%

                                           

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

*nm - Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

24






   

Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Premiums

                                         

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

587 

 

$

611 

 

$

658 

 

$

618 

 

$

589 

 

$

593 

 

$

635 

 

$

1,269 

 

$

1,228 

 

$

1,857 

 

$

1,817

    

$

2,435

 

   Written premium adjustment --
     statutory only

    

(43)

  

  

35 

  

(29)

  

(7)

  

10 

  

33 

  

37 

  

43 

  

(6)

  

36

     

7

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

544 

 

$

613 

 

$

693 

 

$

589 

 

$

582 

 

$

603 

 

$

668 

 

$

1,306 

 

$

1,271 

 

$

1,851 

 

$

1,853

    

$

2,442

 

   Unearned premiums change

    

56 

  

(6)

  

(89)

  

30 

  

20 

  

(4)

  

(86)

  

(96)

  

(90)

  

(41)

  

(70)

     

(40)

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

600 

 

$

607 

 

$

604 

 

$

619 

 

$

602 

 

$

599 

 

$

582 

 

$

1,210 

 

$

1,181 

 

$

1,810 

 

$

1,783

    

$

2,402

 
                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                                         

   Statutory combined ratio

    

97.3 

%

 

84.4 

%

 

86.5 

%

 

92.4 

%

 

94.1 

%

 

89.6 

%

 

87.5 

%

 

85.4 

%

 

88.6 

%

 

89.2 

%

 

90.3

%

    

90.8

%

   Less catastrophe losses

    

0.2 

  

0.8 

  

1.8 

  

1.9 

  

2.3 

  

5.6 

  

5.1 

  

1.3 

  

5.3 

  

0.9 

  

4.3

     

3.7

 

   Statutory combined ratio
     excluding catastrophe losses

    

97.1 

%

 

83.6 

%

 

84.7 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

91.8 

%

 

84.0 

%

 

82.4 

%

 

84.1 

%

 

83.3 

%

 

88.3 

%

 

86.0

%

    

87.1

%

                                           

GAAP combined ratio

                                         

   GAAP combined ratio

    

95.4 

%

 

85.2 

%

 

88.9 

%

 

91.1 

%

 

93.4 

%

 

90.3 

%

 

90.5 

%

 

87.0 

%

 

90.4 

%

 

89.8 

%

 

91.4

%

    

91.3

%

 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

*nm - Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

25





Cincinnati Insurance Group

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

9/30/07

6/30/07

3/31/07

12/31/06

9/30/06

6/30/06

3/31/06

6/30/07

6/30/06

9/30/07

9/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Premiums

                          &nb sp;               

   Adjusted written premiums (statutory)

   

$

192 

 

$

197 

 

$

153 

 

$

167 

 

$

198 

 

$

211 

 

$

161

 

$

350 

 

$

372

 

$

541 

 

$

570

    

$

737 

 

   Written premium adjustment --
     statutory only

    

  

  

  

(1)

  

  

  

-

  

  

-

  

  

-

     

(1)

 

   Reported written premiums (statutory)*

   

$

192 

 

$

197 

 

$

153 

 

$

166 

 

$

198 

 

$

211 

 

$

161

 

$

350 

 

$

372

 

$

541 

 

$

570

    

$

736 

 

   Unearned premiums change

    

(15)

  

(17)

  

28 

  

17 

  

(9)

  

(17)

  

35

  

11 

  

18

  

(3)

  

9

     

26 

 

   Earned premiums

   

$

177 

 

$

180 

 

$

181 

 

$

183 

 

$

189 

 

$

194 

 

$

196

 

$

361 

 

$

390

 

$

538 

 

$

579

    

$

762 

 
                                           

Statutory combined ratio

                          &nb sp;               

   Statutory combined ratio

    

103.6 

%

 

98.6 

%

 

93.5 

%

 

107.7 

%

 

104.0 

%

 

106.4 

%

 

98.1

%

 

95.8 

%

 

101.6

%

 

98.3 

%

 

102.3

%

    

103.6 

%

   Less catastrophe losses

    

7.0 

  

3.5 

  

(4.1)

  

17.9 

  

7.1 

  

15.6 

  

5.0

  

(0.3)

  

10.3

  

2.1 

  

9.2

     

11.3 

 

   Statutory combined ratio
     excluding catastrophe losses

    

96.6 

%

 

95.1 

%

 

97.6 

%

 

89.8 

%

 

96.9 

%

 

90.8 

%

 

93.1

%

 

96.1 

%

 

91.3

%

 

96.2 

%

 

93.1

%

    

92.3 

%

                          & nbsp;                

GAAP combined ratio

                          &nb sp;               

   GAAP combined ratio

    

103.8 

%

 

99.9 

%

 

92.0 

%

 

106.0 

%

 

104.4 

%

 

107.6 

%

 

96.4

%

 

96.0 

%

 

102.0

%

 

98.6 

%

 

102.8

%

    

103.6 

%

 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

*nm - Not meaningful

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

26






The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

GAAP Statements of Income

         
 

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

  

2007

 

2006

 

Change

% Change

 

2007

 

2006

 

Change

% Change

Revenues:

              

Premiums earned:

              

Property casualty

$

$

$

$

$

$

-

Life

 

42,395,592 

 

36,294,277 

 

6,101,315 

16.81 

 

124,663,788 

 

109,318,969 

 

15,344,819 

14.04

Accident health

 

1,776,832 

 

1,709,173 

 

67,659 

3.96 

 

5,141,122 

 

4,948,521 

 

192,601 

3.89

Premiums ceded

 

(10,295,186)

 

(10,455,847)

 

160,661 

(1.54)

 

(30,134,044)

 

(30,688,997)

 

554,953 

(1.81)

Total premiums earned

 

33,877,238 

 

27,547,603 

 

6,329,635 

22.98 

 

99,670,866 

 

83,578,493 

 

16,092,373 

19.25

Investment income

 

28,515,819 

 

27,213,672 

 

1,302,147 

4.78 

 

84,594,298 

 

80,603,825 

 

3,990,473 

4.95

Realized investment gains and losses

 

(117,732)

 

(256,745)

 

139,013 

(54.14)

 

51,750,857 

 

42,327,225 

 

9,423,632 

22.26

Other income

 

1,141,955 

 

755,639 

 

386,316 

51.12 

 

3,461,706 

 

2,559,919 

 

901,787 

35.23

Total revenues

$

63,417,280 

$

55,260,169 

$

8,157,111 

14.76 

$

239,477,727 

$

209,069,462 

$

30,408,265 

14.54

               
               

Benefits & expenses:

              

Losses & policy benefits

$

45,763,373 

$

42,750,492 

$

3,012,881 

7.05 

$

127,869,309 

$

118,288,412 

$

9,580,897 

8.10

Reinsurance recoveries

 

(9,507,506)

 

(9,728,222)

 

220,716 

(2.27)

 

(29,654,500)

 

(26,705,298)

 

(2,949,202)

11.04

Commissions

 

8,388,628 

 

8,434,879 

 

(46,251)

(0.55)

 

26,401,514 

 

25,670,653 

 

730,861 

2.85

Other operating expenses

 

7,831,539 

 

6,877,898 

 

953,641 

13.87 

 

23,381,966 

 

19,784,207 

 

3,597,759 

18.19

Interest expense

 

 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Taxes, licenses & fees

 

930,560 

 

394,060 

 

536,500 

136.15 

 

2,756,613 

 

2,144,949 

 

611,664 

28.52

Incr deferred acq expense

 

(2,402,358)

 

(6,544,407)

 

4,142,049 

(63.29)

 

(8,730,977)

 

(14,237,700)

 

5,506,723 

(38.68)

Other expenses

 

 

(1)

 

 

108 

 

108 

 

0.00

Total expenses

$

51,004,236 

$

42,184,699 

$

8,819,537 

20.91 

$

142,024,033 

$

124,945,331 

$

17,078,702 

13.67

               
               

Income before income taxes

$

12,413,044 

$

13,075,470 

$

(662,426)

(5.07)

$

97,453,694 

$

84,124,131 

$

13,329,563 

15.85

               

Provision for income taxes:

              

Current

$

1,076,018 

$

(33,442)

$

1,109,460 

(3,317.56)

$

4,508,915 

$

5,319,857 

$

(810,942)

(15.24)

Current capital gains/losses

 

(22,206)

 

27,139 

 

(49,345)

(181.82)

 

18,257,800 

 

14,931,529 

 

3,326,271 

22.28

Deferred

 

3,171,530 

 

4,382,846 

 

(1,211,316)

(27.64)

 

10,914,527 

 

9,777,623 

 

1,136,904 

11.63

Total income taxes

$

4,225,342 

$

4,376,543 

$

(151,201)

(3.45)

$

33,681,242 

$

30,029,009 

$

3,652,233 

12.16

               

Net income

$

8,187,702 

$

8,698,927 

$

(511,225)

(5.88)

$

63,772,452 

$

54,095,122 

$

9,677,330 

17.89



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

27






The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Statutory Statements of Income

           
 

For the Three Months Ended September 30,

For the Nine Months Ended September 30,

  

2007

 

2006

% Change

 

2007

 

2006

% Change

           

Net premiums written

$

36,952,328 

$

37,886,042 

(2.46)

$

119,900,032 

$

115,332,247 

3.96 

Net investment income

 

28,518,609 

 

27,213,672 

4.80 

 

84,607,029 

 

80,603,825 

4.97 

Amortization of interest maintenance reserve

 

(716,933)

 

17,827 

(4,121.60)

 

(727,925)

 

100,277 

(825.92)

Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded

 

1,945,861 

 

1,834,459 

6.07 

 

6,464,843 

 

5,778,763 

11.87 

Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts

 

1,141,955 

 

755,639 

51.12 

 

3,461,706 

 

2,559,919 

35.23 

     Total revenues

$

67,841,820 

$

67,707,638 

0.20 

$

213,705,685 

$

204,375,031 

4.57 

           

Death benefits and matured endowments

$

10,205,681 

$

9,459,133 

7.89 

$

27,252,513 

$

30,097,582 

(9.45)

Annuity benefits

 

11,176,827 

 

10,463,908 

6.81 

 

28,828,501 

 

26,619,650 

8.30 

Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts

 

638,935 

 

556,563 

14.80 

 

1,631,352 

 

1,215,340 

34.23 

Surrender benefits and group conversions

 

6,406,696 

 

4,468,607 

43.37 

 

17,479,044 

 

16,260,645 

7.49 

Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds

 

2,322,816 

 

2,259,707 

2.79 

 

6,722,093 

 

7,014,565 

(4.17)

Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts

 

16,724,962 

 

26,543,268 

(36.99)

 

71,711,184 

 

71,899,714 

(0.26)

Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies

 

86,811 

 

77,577 

11.90 

 

258,824 

 

231,661 

11.73 

     Total benefit expenses

$

47,562,728 

$

53,828,763 

(11.64)

$

153,883,511 

$

153,339,156 

0.36 

           

Commissions

$

8,283,629 

$

8,319,379 

(0.43)

$

26,016,514 

$

25,355,653 

2.61 

General insurance expenses and taxes

 

9,797,137 

 

7,487,053 

30.85 

 

29,278,421 

 

24,214,800 

20.91 

Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums

 

(1,525,841)

 

(1,506,574)

1.28 

 

(5,337,160)

 

(4,478,863)

19.16 

Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts

 

 

 

(215,913)

 

(211,220)

2.22 

Other deductions

 

 

 

108 

 

109 

(0.59)

     Total operating expenses

$

16,554,925 

$

14,299,858 

15.77 

$

49,741,970 

$

44,880,478 

10.83 

           

Federal and Foreign Income Taxes Incurred

 

886,409 

 

219,114 

304.54 

 

4,447,095 

 

5,022,716 

(11.46)

           

     Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses)

$

2,837,758 

$

(640,097)

(543.33)

$

5,633,109 

$

1,132,681 

397.33 

           

Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax

 

2,604,683 

 

(57,569)

N/A 

 

37,332,560 

 

27,640,006 

35.07 

           

     Net Income (Statutory)

$

5,442,441 

$

(697,666)

(880.09)

$

42,965,669 

$

28,772,687 

49.33 

           

* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.



2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

28






  

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company

Expenses as a Percentage of Premium

 

(Dollars in millions)

Three months ended

Six months ended

Nine months ended

Twelve months ended

 

12/31/07

09/30/07

06/30/07

03/31/07

12/31/06

09/30/06

06/30/06

03/31/06

06/30/07

06/30/06

09/30/07

09/30/06

12/31/07

12/31/06

Gross Written Premiums

   

$

49

 

$

54

 

$

53

 

$

54

 

$

50

 

$

51

 

$

50

 

$

107

 

$

101

 

$

156

 

$

152

    

$

206

 

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
 Adjustment

    

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

  

-

     

-

 

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

   

$

49

 

$

54

 

$

53

 

$

54

 

$

50

 

$

51

 

$

50

 

$

107

 

$

101

 

$

156

 

$

152

    

$

206

 
                                          

Insurance Expense

   

$

8

 

$

9

 

$

9

 

$

10

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

7

 

$

18

 

$

14

 

$

26

 

$

21

    

$

31

 
                                          

Expense Ratio

    

16.3

%

 

16.7

%

 

17.7

%

 

17.8

%

 

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

16.8

%

 

14.0

%

 

16.7

%

 

14.0

%

    

15.0

%

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
  Gross Written Premium

    

16.3

%

 

16.7

%

 

17.7

%

 

17.8

%

 

14.7

%

 

13.5

%

 

14.5

%

 

16.8

%

 

14.0

%

 

16.7

%

 

14.0

%

    

15.0

%

                                           
                                           
                                           

(Dollars in millions)

Years ended December 31,

                        
 

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

                     

Gross Written Premiums

$

206

 

$

249

 

$

230

 

$

173

 

$

244

 

$

122

 

$

157

                      

Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI)
 Adjustment

 

-

  

-

  

(10)

  

-

  

(34)

  

-

  

(20)

                      

Adjusted Gross Written Premiums

$

206

 

$

249

 

$

220

 

$

173

 

$

210

 

$

122

 

$

137

                      
                                           

Insurance Expense

$

31

 

$

29

 

$

25

 

$

25

 

$

27

 

$

25

 

$

20

                      
                                           

Expense Ratio

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

11.1

%

 

14.8

%

 

10.9

%

 

20.6

%

 

12.9

%

                     

Expense Ratio based on Adjusted
  Gross Written Premium

 

15.0

%

 

11.7

%

 

11.6

%

 

14.8

%

 

12.6

%

 

20.6

%

 

14.8

%

                    
                                           
                                           

* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is

computed independently.




2007 Third-Quarter Supplement

29


Request Electronic Delivery
If you are a shareholder, consider enrolling in Electronic Delivery. You will receive email alerts instead of paper mailings, saving your company's dollars.
Receive Email Alerts
When the company posts new information to this site, you can receive instant email alerts.
Sign up now!