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CINCINNATI, Nov. 1 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
- Third-quarter and nine-month net and operating income in line with previous announcement.
- Record book value of $37.32 per share.
- Results tempered by rising loss severity and by storm activity that will lead to record year for catastrophe losses.
Financial Highlights
(Dollars in millions
except share data)
Three months ended Nine months ended
September 30, September 30,
2006 2005 Change % 2006 2005 Change %
Revenue Highlights
Earned premiums $819 $790 3.6 $2,446 $2,361 3.6
Investment income 144 134 7.5 425 390 9.0
Total revenues 967 944 2.4 3,556 2,801 27.0
Income Statement
Data
Net income $115 $117 (1.6) $800 $419 90.7
Net realized
investment
gains and losses 0 10 (100.8) 427 24 1,690.9
Operating income* $115 $107 7.5 $373 $395 (5.6)
Per Share Data
(diluted)
Net income $0.66 $0.66 0.0 $4.56 $2.37 92.4
Net realized
investment gains
and losses 0.00 0.05 nm 2.43 0.14 1,635.7
Operating income* $0.66 $0.61 8.2 $2.13 $2.23 (4.5)
Book value $37.32 $34.43 8.4
Cash dividend
declared $0.335 $0.305 9.8 $1.005 $0.90 11.7
Weighted
average
shares out-
standing 175,260,063 176,806,267 (0.9) 175,542,616 177,212,677 (0.9)
Insurance Operations Highlights
- 2.4 percent and 3.2 percent increases in three- and nine-month property casualty net written premiums.
- Strong commercial lines growth with three-month net written premiums up 6.5 percent and new business at $89 million.
- Third-quarter personal lines new business up 14.4 percent. Rate changes made effective July 1, 2006, have better positioned personal lines products in certain markets.
- 96.1 percent and 94.2 percent three- and nine-month property casualty combined ratios, in line with previous announcement.
- Catastrophe losses contributed 3.5 and 5.5 percentage points to the 2006 three- and nine-month combined ratios. In the comparable 2005 periods, catastrophe losses contributed 8.6 and 3.6 percentage points to the ratios.
- 5 cents and 15 cents contribution from the life insurance segment to three- and nine-month 2006 operating income.
- 7.5 percent and 9.0 percent growth in three- and nine-month pretax investment income.
- Book value of $37.32 at September 30, 2006, up $2.44 from year-end 2005 level. Invested assets rose on new investments, interest-rate-driven improvement in bond values and appreciation of equity portfolio.
- Property casualty written premiums target unchanged at 2+ percent growth in full-year 2006. Growth in commercial lines is more than offsetting the expected decline in personal lines.
- Combined ratio target raised to a range of 94 percent to 95 percent including at least 5.0 percentage points from full-year catastrophe losses, from a range of 92 percent to 94 percent including 4.0 to 4.5 percentage points.
- Investment income growth target unchanged at 8.0 percent to 8.5 percent range for full-year 2006.
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Full-year 2006 Outlook in Line with October 23, 2006, Announcement**
* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to
Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures
presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles or Statutory Accounting Principles.
** Outlook and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in
the company's forward-looking information safe-harbor statement (see
Page 9).
Overall Results and Long-term Position
"Third-quarter property casualty underwriting results reflected the normal ebb and flow of the insurance business. As we reported on a preliminary basis on October 23, a few business lines showed some inconsistency because of rising loss severity, including higher new large losses. We are further studying those lines so they can receive the attention necessary. We are confident we are working effectively to address each set of circumstances appropriately," said John J. Schiff, Jr., CPCU, chairman and chief executive officer. "Looking at the big picture, many aspects of our third-quarter performance were exemplary and strengthened our confidence in our long-term outlook.
"In the insurance area, our largest commercial and personal business lines reported healthy third-quarter results, in line with recent trends. Business policyholders are continuing to respond favorably to their local independent agents' presentation of the Cincinnati value proposition - customized, multi- year coverage packages, superior claims service, our A++ rating from A.M. Best Co. and a local field force. Personal lines policyholders are responding favorably to agents' presentation of new pricing for Cincinnati's personal lines products, leading to the first quarter-over-quarter increase in new personal lines business since the fourth quarter of 2002. And our life insurance operation continued to contribute to income, an important balance to the inevitable swings in property casualty insurance results."
Turning to investments, Schiff added, "Our buy-and-hold equity investing strategy drives the company's long-term growth and stability and contributed again in the third quarter. Investment income growth was healthy, helped by dividends from our equity holdings. New investments, interest-rate driven improvement in bond values and appreciation of the equity portfolio led to higher investment assets and a $2.44 gain in book value from year-end to a record $37.32."
Schiff said, "Our long-standing strategy is to be strong on agency relationships, claims service and reserving, and total return investing. We continued during the third quarter to protect and build on these advantages, providing a stable market for our agents' business and producing steady value for our shareholders."
Year-to-date Catastrophe Losses
James E. Benoski, vice chairman, chief insurance officer and president, said, "This year, as in 2005, policyholders have had ample opportunities to benefit from the Cincinnati relationship. After a number of second quarter storms, severe weather continued across the Midwest during the third quarter. Policyholders affected by an April hailstorm also continue to report claims, moving the total from that storm above our initial estimate. Of the more than 8,500 catastrophe claims reported for storms during the first nine months of this year, approximately 93 percent are already closed. Our claims representatives' prompt responses and personal approach reflect positively on our agents, supporting their marketing efforts to value-oriented clients.
"In early October, a Midwest storm caused heavy hail damage in central Ohio, resulting in at least $35 million of losses for our policyholders. Of the approximately 1,500 losses we have received from policyholders affected by that storm, more than 68 percent are already closed," Benoski noted.
2006 Property Casualty Outlook Update
Kenneth W. Stecher, chief financial officer and executive vice president commented, "In view of the healthy investment income and premium trends, we remain comfortable with the targets for these measures we provided last quarter. Investment income growth should be between 8.0 and 8.5 percent. Our consolidated property casualty written premium growth should be at least 2 percent for the year compared with the 2.6 percent increase in 2005.
"As we announced on October 23, we have modified our expected range for the combined ratio to 94 percent to 95 percent, including at least 5.0 percentage points from full-year catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses through nine months totaled $130 million, and we've already experienced one major storm in October. The rising level of large, non-catastrophe losses in the third quarter took away some of the cushion we had to handle this year's higher level of catastrophe losses. Without any additional storms, we're already at a record level that will add at least 5 percentage points to the full-year combined."
Looking at other aspects of the combined ratio, Stecher said, "We continue to believe that savings in 2006 from favorable loss reserve development from prior accident years is likely to reduce the 2006 combined ratio by 2 to 3 percentage points, in line with historical levels. Net savings from favorable development improved this year's third-quarter loss and loss expense ratio by 4.9 percentage points. For the first nine months of 2006, savings improved the ratio by 1.5 percentage points. In 2005 and 2004, savings - particularly for liability coverages - were at a higher-than-normal level."
Opportunities
Schiff added, "We plan to finish the year with more agencies than ever, carefully appointing only the most professionally managed agencies in each area where we see opportunities to bring Cincinnati's insurance products and services to families and businesses. This high-quality representation is an advantage we have been carefully expanding. We made 49 agency appointments in the first nine months, near our target of 55 to 60 new agency appointments for the year. These new appointments and other changes in agency structures brought total reporting agency locations to 1,286, a net increase of 34 since year-end 2005.
"The agencies that market our insurance products recently helped The Cincinnati Insurance Companies rank among the top companies in a survey conducted by Greenwich Associates, an independent financial services research firm. Greenwich surveyed a broad cross-section of agents and brokers to statistically measure carriers on fundamental qualitative measures, including client loyalty, claims coordination, competitive pricing and coverage."
Schiff concluded, "We continue to target above-industry-average growth in written premiums and industry-leading profitability. We believe that our 2006 performance will support our ability to reward shareholders over the long term."
Property Casualty Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended Nine months ended
September 30, September 30,
2006 2005 Change % 2006 2005 Change %
Written premiums $780 $761 2.4 $2,423 $2,349 3.2
Earned premiums $791 $765 3.4 $2,362 $2,283 3.5
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 489 435 12.2 1,375 1,312 4.8
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 27 66 (58.2) 130 83 57.2
Commission expenses 147 151 (2.6) 452 451 0.4
Underwriting expenses 94 84 11.4 256 225 13.7
Policyholder dividends 3 3 39.4 12 7 56.5
Underwriting profit $31 $26 19.0 $137 $205 (33.4)
Ratios as a percent
of earned premiums:
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 61.7% 56.9% 58.3% 57.5%
Catastrophe loss
and loss expenses 3.5 8.6 5.5 3.6
Loss and loss
expenses 65.2 65.5 63.8 61.1
Commission expenses 18.7 19.8 19.1 19.7
Underwriting
expenses 11.8 11.0 10.8 9.9
Policyholder
dividends 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3
Combined ratio 96.1% 96.6% 94.2% 91.0%
Property Casualty Insurance Highlights
- 2.4 percent rise in three-month 2006 property casualty written premiums, with a 3.2 percent nine-month increase. The 2006 net written premium growth rates were increased by the net effect of reinsurance reinstatement premiums and assumed pool adjustments in the third quarter of 2005. These added 0.5 and 0.1 percentage points, respectively, to the growth rates for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006.
- $98 million in new business written directly by agencies compared with $79 million in last year's three months. Nine-month new business rose 16.1 percent to $268 million from $231 million.
- 1,065 agency relationships with 1,286 reporting locations marketing our insurance products at September 30, 2006, up from 1,024 agency relationships with 1,252 locations at year-end 2005.
- 3.2 percentage point increase in the nine-month property casualty combined ratio due to rising loss severity, catastrophe losses, a lower level of savings from favorable development on prior period reserves and underwriting expenses, including stock option expensing.
- $27 million in third-quarter 2006 catastrophe losses, reflecting $19 million from weather events during the period and $8 million of development on catastrophe events in prior periods. $130 million in nine-month 2006 catastrophe losses contributed 5.5 percentage points to the nine-month combined ratio.
2006 Year-to-date Dates States Primarily Reported Loss Estimate
Events Affected Claims (as of (pretax, net of
October 27) reinsurance)
Midwest Mar. Arkansas, Illinois, 1,629 $38 million
tornadoes and 11-13 Indiana, Kansas,
severe weather Missouri, Oklahoma
Midwest wind and Apr. Arkansas, Illinois, 1,227 $18 million
hail 2-3 Indiana, Kentucky,
Missouri, Tennessee
Midwest wind and Apr. Alabama, Georgia, 976 $10 million
hail 6-8 Indiana, Kansas,
Kentucky, Nebraska,
Ohio, Tennessee
Midwest wind and Apr. Illinois, Indiana, 3,360 $38 million
hail 13-15 Iowa, Wisconsin
Midwest wind, Jun. Indiana, Ohio, 535 $5 million
hail and flood 18-22 Wisconsin
Midwest wind, Jul. Illinois, Kentucky, 472 $6 million
hail and flood 19-21 Missouri, Tennessee
and Wisconsin
Midwest wind, Aug. Illinois, Indiana, 337 $8 million
hail and flood 23-25 Minnesota, Wisconsin
Midwest wind, Oct. Illinois, Indiana, 1,479 $35 million
hail and flood 2-4 Iowa, Michigan,
Minnesota, Ohio,
Wisconsin
- Three-month 2006 net savings from favorable development on prior period reserves improved the combined ratio by 4.9 percentage points. In last year's third quarter, savings improved the ratio by 6.5 percentage points.
- Nine-month 2006 net savings from favorable development improved the combined ratio by 1.5 percentage points. In the comparable 2005 period, savings improved the ratio by 3.5 percentage points. The year-over-year differences largely related to development on commercial casualty losses, which can fluctuate due to the nature and size of liability policies and limits, such as those on commercial umbrella policies.
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended Nine months ended
September 30, September 30,
2006 2005 Change % 2006 2005 Change %
Written premiums $582 $546 6.5 $1,853 $1,741 6.4
Earned premiums $602 $564 6.7 $1,783 $1,678 6.3
Loss and loss expenses
excluding catastrophes 363 307 18.1 1,020 942 8.4
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 14 53 (73.4) 77 62 24.4
Commission expenses 109 110 (0.5) 331 325 2.1
Underwriting expenses 74 64 14.2 190 160 18.5
Policyholder dividends 3 3 39.4 12 7 56.5
Underwriting profit $39 $27 44.9 $153 $182 (16.0)
Ratios as a percent
of earned premiums:
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 60.2% 54.4% 57.3% 56.1%
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 2.3 9.5 4.3 3.7
Loss and loss expenses 62.5 63.9 61.6 59.8
Commission expenses 18.2 19.5 18.6 19.4
Underwriting expenses 12.2 11.4 10.6 9.5
Policyholder dividends 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5
Combined ratio 93.4% 95.2% 91.4% 89.2%
Commercial Lines Insurance Highlights
- 6.5 percent growth in three-month 2006 commercial lines net written premiums with a 6.4 percent nine-month increase. 2006 net written premium growth rates were increased by the effect of reinsurance reinstatement premiums in the third quarter of 2005. These added 1.0 and 0.3 percentage points, respectively, to the growth rates for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006.
- $89 million in new commercial lines business written directly by agencies in third-quarter 2006, up 25.1 percent. Nine-month new commercial lines business rose 18.5 percent to $244 million.
- 91.4 percent nine-month 2006 commercial lines combined ratio. The ratio rose 2.2 percentage points largely because of higher catastrophe losses, a lower level of savings from favorable development on prior period reserves and rising loss severity, including an increase in the number of losses greater than $1 million.
- 0.8 percentage-point decrease in nine-month commercial lines commission expense ratio, primarily due to lower profit-sharing commissions on lower overall underwriting profits.
- 1.2 percentage-point increase in nine-month noncommission expense ratio, including policyholder dividends. The rise largely was due to higher technology and staffing expenses. Stock option expense contributed 0.5 percentage points.
- Commercial property and commercial casualty - the company's two largest commercial business lines - reported strong growth and healthy profitability, with nine-month loss and loss expense ratios excluding catastrophes improved from the year ago period.
- Commercial auto and workers' compensation results in line with previous announcement. In addition to rising loss severity and a higher number of new large losses, commercial auto results reflected the increasing competition in the commercial lines marketplace and workers' compensation reflected a review we made of established case reserves.
- Continued commercial lines growth anticipated due to strong agency relationships, which promoted healthy new business growth and policyholder retention.
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions) Three Months ended Nine Months ended
September 30, September 30,
2006 2005 Change % 2006 2005 Change %
Written premiums $198 $215 (8.0) $570 $608 (6.1)
Earned premiums $189 $201 (5.9) $579 $605 (4.4)
Loss and loss expenses
excluding catastrophes 126 128 (1.9) 355 370 (4.2)
Catastrophe loss
and loss expenses 13 13 6.4 53 21 153.9
Commission expenses 38 41 (8.0) 121 126 (4.1)
Underwriting expenses 20 20 2.3 66 65 1.9
Underwriting profit
(loss) $(8) $(1) (670.2) $(16) $23 (169.2)
Ratios as a percent
of earned premiums:
Loss and loss expenses
excluding catastrophes 66.6% 63.9% 61.3% 61.1%
Catastrophe loss
and loss expenses 7.1 6.3 9.2 3.5
Loss and loss expenses 73.7 70.2 70.5% 64.6
Commission expenses 20.1 20.5 20.8 20.8
Underwriting expenses 10.6 9.8 11.5 10.7
Combined ratio 104.4% 100.5% 102.8% 96.1%
Personal Lines Insurance Highlights
- 8.0 percent decrease in three-month 2006 personal lines net written premiums with a 6.1 percent nine-month decrease. 2006 net written premium growth rates include the net effect of reinsurance reinstatement premiums and assumed pool adjustments in the third quarter of 2005. These reduced the decline by 0.8 and 0.3 percentage points, respectively, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006.
- 14.4 percent increase in third-quarter new personal lines business to $9 million compared with $8 million in the third quarter of 2005, the first quarter-over-quarter increase in new personal lines business since the fourth quarter of 2002. New personal lines business written directly by agencies was $24 million in the first nine months of 2006, compared with $25 million in year-ago period.
- 102.8 percent nine-month 2006 personal lines combined ratio. The 6.7 percentage-point increase reflected a 5.7 percentage point rise in the contribution from catastrophe losses.
- Increase in three- and nine-month noncommission underwriting expense ratio, largely due to higher technology and staffing expenses. The adoption of stock option expensing contributed 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points to the three- and nine-month increases, respectively.
- Diamond, the company's personal lines policy processing system, in use in 13 states that represent approximately 90 percent of total 2005 personal lines earned premium volume. 2006 rollout to Georgia, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, Tennessee and Wisconsin agents completed on schedule. Plans for 2007 include the introduction of Diamond in Pennsylvania, Virginia and other low-volume states.
- Personal auto - the company's largest personal business line - reported healthy profitability, with the nine-month loss and loss expense ratio excluding catastrophe losses improved from the year ago period.
- Homeowner results in line with previous announcement. In addition to rising loss severity and a higher number of new large losses, homeowner results reflect industrywide trends of higher material costs and insured property values as well as rising deductibles.
- Decrease in full-year 2006 personal lines premiums expected. Effective July 1, a limited program of policy credits to incorporate insurance scores into pricing of personal auto and homeowner policies was introduced in most states where the Diamond system is in use. This program lowers premiums for some existing policyholders. These changes can contribute to higher levels of new business and improved policyholder retention by making rates more competitive for agents' better customers.
Life Insurance Operations
(In millions)
Three months ended Nine months ended
September 30, September 30,
2006 2005 Change% 2006 2005 Change%
Written premiums $40 $56 (28.7) $121 $163 (25.6)
Earned premiums $28 $25 9.4 $84 $78 6.9
Investment income, net
of expenses 27 25 9.2 81 73 10.0
Other income 0 1 (20.6) 2 3 0.5
Total revenues, excluding
realized investment gains
and losses 55 51 8.8 167 154 8.3
Policyholder benefits 33 27 21.2 92 77 19.2
Expenses 9 12 (19.8) 33 37 (9.9)
Total benefits and
expenses 42 39 9.1 125 114 9.7
Net income before income
tax and realized
investment gains and
losses 13 12 7.8 42 40 4.2
Income tax 4 4 7.0 15 13 12.4
Net income before realized
investment gains and
losses $9 $8 8.2 $27 $27 0.0
Life Insurance Highlights
- $121 million in nine-month total life insurance operations net written premiums, compared with $163 million in year-ago period. Written premiums include life insurance, annuity and accident and health premiums.
- 13.2 percent increase to $94 million in statutory written premiums for term and other life insurance products in the first nine months of 2006. Since late 2005, the company has de-emphasized annuities because of an unfavorable interest rate environment. Statutory written annuity premiums decreased to $24 million in the first nine months of 2006 from $77 million in the comparable prior period.
- 8.2 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $55.691 billion at September 30, 2006, from $51.493 billion at year-end 2005.
- $11 million increase in nine-month benefits and expenses primarily due to higher mortality expenses compared with the year-earlier periods, although mortality experience remained within pricing guidelines. Adoption of stock option expensing added approximately $1 million to other operating expenses.
- 29.4 percent rise in first-nine month 2006 term life insurance written premiums, benefiting from the 2005 introduction of a new series of term products. Termsetter Plus series includes an optional return-of-premium feature. Response to the new portfolio has been favorable, with approximately 25 percent of applications requesting the return-of- premium feature.
- Cash value accumulation universal life products introduced for adults and children to further round out the universal life portfolio.
Investment Operations
(in millions)
Three months ended Nine months ended
September 30, September 30,
2006 2005 Change % 2006 2005 Change %
Investment income:
Interest $74 $70 6.1 $225 $208 8.2
Dividends 67 64 5.2 194 180 7.5
Other 4 2 130.0 11 6 78.8
Investment expenses (1) (2) 9.9 (5) (4) (14.4)
Total net investment
income 144 134 7.5 425 390 9.0
Investment interest
credited to contract
holders (14) (13) (3.4) (40) (38) (6.0)
Net realized investment
gains and losses:
Realized investment
gains and losses (2) 12 (117.3) 667 41 1,519.9
Change in valuation of
embedded derivatives 2 5 (56.0) 5 (2) 353.6
Other-than-temporary
impairment charges 0 (1) nm (1) (1) 41.7
Net realized investment
gains (losses) 0 16 nm 671 38 1,683.6
Investment operations
income $130 $137 (4.8) $1,056 $390 171.1
Balance Sheet
(Dollars in millions At September 30, At December 31,
except share data) 2006 2005
Balance sheet data
Invested assets $13,104 $12,702
Total assets 17,671 16,003
Short-term debt 49 0
Long-term debt 791 791
Shareholders' equity 6,464 6,086
Book value per share 37.32 34.88
Debt-to-capital ratio 11.5% 11.5%
Three months ended Nine months ended
September 30, September 30,
2006 2005 2006 2005
Performance measures
Comprehensive income (loss) $455 $(59) $609 $(39)
Return on equity, annualized 7.4% 7.7% 17.0% 9.1%
Return on equity, annualized,
based on comprehensive income 29.1 (3.9) 12.9 (0.8)
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
- 7.5 percent increase in three-month pretax net investment income with 9.0 percent increase for the nine months. Fifth Third Bancorp, the company's largest equity holding, contributed 44.2 percent of total nine-month dividend income.
- Growth in investment income reflected new investments, higher interest income from the growing fixed-maturity portfolio and increased dividend income from the common stock portfolio. In addition, proceeds from the sale of the ALLTEL Corporation holding used to make the applicable tax payments in June 2006 were invested in short-term instruments that generated approximately $5 million in interest income in the first nine months of 2006.
- $15 million annually in additional investment income expected from dividend increases announced during the 12 months ended September 30, 2006, by Fifth Third and another 37 of the 49 common stock holdings in the equity portfolio.
- $671 million in nine-month net realized investment gains (pretax) including $647 million due to the first-quarter sale of the company's holdings of ALLTEL common stock.
- Book value of $37.32 at September 30, 2006, up $2.44 from year-end 2005 level. Invested assets at September 30, 2006, rose from year-end 2005 because of new investments, interest-rate-driven improvement in bond values and appreciation of the equity portfolio.
- 142,566 shares repurchased in third quarter. Raised nine-month repurchase activity to 2.15 million shares for a total cost of $95 million.
- $4.616 billion in statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at September 30, 2006, compared with $4.194 billion at year-end 2005. The ratio of common stock to statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group portfolio was 92.6 percent at September 30, 2006, compared with 97.0 percent at year-end 2005.
- 30.9 percent ratio of investment securities held at the holding-company level to total holding-company-only assets at September 30, 2006, comfortably within management's below-40 percent target.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance, its main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company markets life and disability income insurance and annuities. CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. CinFin Capital Management Company provides asset management services to institutions, corporations and individuals. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
For additional information or to register for this morning's conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.
This is our "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2005 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 21. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
- Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
- Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
- Inaccurate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
- Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company's future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes- Oxley Act of 2002
- Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company's relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company's opportunities for growth, such as:
- Downgrade of the company's financial strength ratings,
- Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
- Perceptions that the company's level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace or
- Regulations or laws that change industry or company practices for our agents.
- Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
- Ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
- Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company's premium growth rate
- Underwriting and pricing methods adopted by competitors that could allow them to identify and flexibly price risks, which could decrease our competitive advantages
- Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies that:
- Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
- Increase our expenses
- Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
- Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
- Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace or
- Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
- Sustained decline in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company's equity portfolio and book value; in particular a sustained decline in the market value of Fifth Third Bancorp (Nasdaq: FITB) shares, a significant equity holding
- Recession or other economic conditions or regulatory, accounting or tax changes resulting in lower demand for insurance products
- Events that lead to a significant decline in the value of a particular security and impairment of the asset
- Prolonged medium- and long-term low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company's ability to generate growth in investment income
- Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
- Investment activities or market value fluctuations that trigger restrictions applicable to the parent company under the Investment Company Act of 1940
- Events, such as an avian flu epidemic, natural catastrophe or construction delays, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
Further, the company's insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Dollars in millions except per share data) September 30, December 31,
2006 2005
(unaudited)
ASSETS
Investments
Fixed maturities, at fair value
(amortized cost: 2006-$5,719; 2005-$5,387) $5,790 $5,476
Equity securities, at fair value
(cost: 2006-$2,574; 2005-$2,128) 7,256 7,106
Short-term investments, at fair value
(amortized cost: 2005-$75) 0 75
Other invested assets 58 45
Cash and cash equivalents 239 119
Securities lending collateral 1,016 0
Investment income receivable 115 117
Finance receivable 106 105
Premiums receivable 1,166 1,116
Reinsurance receivable 701 681
Prepaid reinsurance premiums 13 14
Deferred policy acquisition costs 458 429
Land, building and equipment, net,
for company use (accumulated depreciation:
2006-$253; 2005-$232) 185 168
Other assets 63 66
Separate accounts 505 486
Total assets $17,671 $16,003
LIABILITIES
Insurance reserves
Loss and loss expense reserves $3,878 $3,661
Life policy reserves 1,389 1,343
Unearned premiums 1,623 1,559
Securities lending payable 1,016 0
Other liabilities 459 455
Deferred income tax 1,497 1,622
Notes payable 49 0
6.125% senior notes due 2034 371 371
6.9% senior debentures due 2028 28 28
6.92% senior debenture due 2028 392 392
Separate accounts 505 486
Total liabilities 11,207 9,917
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Common stock, par value-$2 per share;
authorized: 2006-500 million shares,
2005-500 million shares; issued: 2006-195
million shares, 2005-194 million shares 391 389
Paid-in capital 1,005 969
Retained earnings 2,714 2,088
Accumulated other comprehensive income 3,093 3,284
Treasury stock at cost (2006-22 million
shares, 2005-20 million shares) (739) (644)
Total shareholders' equity 6,464 6,086
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity $17,671 $16,003
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income
(In millions except per share data)
Three months Nine months
ended Sept. 30 ended Sept. 30
2006 2005 2006 2005
(unaudited) (unaudited)
REVENUES
Earned premiums
Property casualty $791 $765 $2,362 $2,283
Life 28 25 84 78
Investment income, net of expenses 144 134 425 390
Realized investment gains and losses 0 16 671 38
Other income 4 4 14 12
Total revenues 967 944 3,556 2,801
BENEFITS AND EXPENSES
Insurance losses and policyholder
benefits 549 528 1,596 1,470
Commissions 156 160 478 476
Other operating expenses 83 74 243 213
Taxes, licenses and fees 19 17 58 52
Increase in deferred policy
acquisition costs (5) (5) (27) (23)
Interest expense 13 13 39 39
Other expenses 4 6 12 12
Total benefits and expenses 819 793 2,399 2,239
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES 148 151 1,157 562
PROVISION (BENEFIT) FOR
INCOME TAXES
Current 23 19 363 126
Deferred 10 15 (6) 17
Total provision for income taxes 33 34 357 143
NET INCOME $115 $117 $800 $419
PER COMMON SHARE
Net income-basic $0.67 $0.67 $4.61 $2.39
Net income-diluted $0.66 $0.66 $4.56 $2.37
Since 1996, Cincinnati Financial has disclosed the estimated impact of stock options on net income and earnings per share in a Note to the Financial Statements. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005, diluted net income would have been reduced by approximately 2 cents and 6 cents per share, if option expense, calculated using the binomial option-pricing model, were included as an expense.
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures (See attached tables for 2006 and 2005 data; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas - property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments - when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management's control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
- Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company's insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management's discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period. For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
- Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC's Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
- Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
- Written premium adjustment - statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.
- Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in which the company recognized statutory property casualty written premiums. As a result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business trends, management excludes this $402 million when analyzing written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.
- Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing the life insurance company's gross written premiums, management excludes five larger, single-pay life insurance policies (bank-owned life insurance or BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the independent agency distribution channel.
- One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.
- In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor, pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39 million one- time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.
- In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million, pre- tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to the development of software to process property casualty policies.
- In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first quarter from a $303 million single-premium BOLI policy that was booked at the end of 1999 and segregated as a separate account effective April 1, 2000. Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract holder and, therefore, are not included in the company's consolidated financials.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation
(In millions except per share
data) Three months ended
12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/ 12/31 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/
2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 2005 2005 2005
Net income $ 115 $ 132 $ 552 $ 183 $ 117 $ 158 $ 144
One-time item 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net income
before one-time
item 115 132 552 183 117 158 144
Net realized
investment
gains and losses 0 6 421 16 10 8 6
Operating income
before one-time
item 115 126 131 167 107 150 138
Less catastrophe
losses (18) (41) (26) (28) (43) (9) (2)
Operating income
before
catastrophe
losses and
one-time item $ 133 $ 167 $ 157 $ 195 $ 150 $ 159 $ 140
Diluted per share
data
Net income $ 0.66 $ 0.76 $ 3.13 $ 1.03 $ 0.66 $ 0.89 $ 0.81
One-time item 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Net income
before
one-time
item 0.66 0.76 3.13 1.03 0.66 0.89 0.81
Net realized
investment
gains and
losses 0.00 0.04 2.39 0.09 0.05 0.05 0.03
Operating income
before one-time
item 0.66 0.72 0.74 0.94 0.61 0.84 0.78
Less catastrophe
losses (0.10) (0.24) (0.14) (0.16) (0.24) (0.05) (0.01)
Operating income
before
catastrophe
losses and
one-time item $ 0.76 $0.96 $ 0.88 $ 1.10 $ 0.85 $ 0.89 $ 0.79
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add
due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation
(In millions except per share
data) Six months Nine months Twelve months
ended ended ended
6/30/ 6/30/ 9/30/ 9/30/ 12/31/ 12/31/
2006 2005 2006 2005 2006 2005
Net income $ 684 $ 302 $ 800 $ 419 $ 602
One-time item 0 0 0 0 0
Net income
before one-time
item 684 302 800 419 602
Net realized
investment
gains and losses 426 14 427 24 40
Operating income
before one-time
item 258 288 373 395 562
Less catastrophe
losses (67) (11) (85) (54) (82)
Operating income
before
catastrophe
losses and
one-time item $ 325 $ 299 $ 458 $ 449 $ 644
Diluted per share
data
Net income $ 3.90 $ 1.70 $ 2.13 $ 2.37 $ 3.40
One-time item 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Net income
before one-time
item 3.90 1.70 2.13 2.37 3.40
Net realized
investment
gains and losses 2.43 0.08 2.43 0.14 0.23
Operating income
before one-time
item 1.47 1.62 4.56 2.23 3.17
Less catastrophe
losses (0.38) (0.06) (0.48) (0.30) (0.46)
Operating income
before
catastrophe
losses and
one-time item $ 1.85 $ 1.68 $ 5.04 $ 2.53 $ 3.63
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add
due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended
12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/ 12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/
2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 2005 2005 2005
Premiums
Adjusted
written
premiums
(statutory) $787 $804 $796 $765 $764 $780 $787
Written
premium
adjustment -
statutory
only (7) 10 33 (38) (3) 10 10
Reported
written
premiums
(statutory)* $780 $814 $829 $727 $761 $790 $797
Unearned
premiums
change 11 (21) (51) 48 4 (25) (44)
Earned
premiums $791 $793 $778 $775 $765 $765 $753
Statutory
combined
ratio
Reported
statutory
combined
ratio* 96.4% 93.7% 89.6% 85.8% 96.6% 86.6% 87.3%
Written
premium
adjustment -
statutory
only nm nm nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted
statutory
combined
ratio 96.4% 93.7% 89.6% 85.8% 96.6% 86.6% 87.3%
Less
catastrophe
losses 3.5 8.0 5.0 5.6 8.6 2.0 0.3
Adjusted
statutory
combined
ratio
excluding
catastrophe
losses 92.9% 85.7% 84.6% 80.2% 88.0% 84.6% 87.0%
Reported
commission
expense
ratio* 19.3% 17.6% 18.1% 20.4% 20.3% 19.3% 16.8%
Written
premium
adjustment -
statutory
only nm nm nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted
commission
expense
ratio 19.3% 17.6% 18.1% 20.4% 20.3% 19.3% 16.8%
Reported
other
expense
ratio* 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 11.6% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8%
Written
premium
adjustment -
statutory
only nm nm nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted
other
expense
ratio 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 11.6% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8%
Reported
statutory
expense
ratio* 31.2% 28.4% 28.9% 32.0% 31.1% 29.6% 26.6%
Written
premium
adjustment -
statutory
only nm nm nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted
statutory
expense
ratio 31.2% 28.4% 28.9% 32.0% 31.1% 29.6% 26.6%
GAAP combined
ratio
GAAP
combined
ratio 96.1% 94.5% 92.0% 83.9% 96.6% 87.5 88.9%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 96.1% 94.5% 92.0% 83.9% 96.6% 87.5% 88.9%
(Dollars in millions) Six months Nine months Twelve months
ended ended ended
6/30/ 6/30/ 9/30/ 9/30/ 12/31/ 12/31/
2006 2005 2006 2005 2006 2005
Premiums
Adjusted written
premiums
(statutory) $1,600 $1,567 $2,387 $2,332 $3,097
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only 43 20 36 17 (21)
Reported written
premiums
(statutory)* $1,643 $1,587 $2,423 $2,349 $3,076
Unearned premiums
change (72) (73) (60) (66) (19)
Earned premiums $1,571 $1,518 $2,362 $2,283 $3,058
Statutory combined
ratio
Reported statutory
combined ratio* 91.7% 86.9% 93.2% 90.1% 89.0%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio 91.7% 86.9% 93.2% 90.1% 89.0%
Less catastrophe
losses 6.5 1.1 5.5 3.6 4.1
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe losses 85.2% 85.8% 87.7% 86.5% 84.9%
Reported commission
expense ratio* 17.9% 18.0% 18.3% 18.8% 19.2%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted commission
expense ratio 17.9% 18.0% 18.3% 18.8% 19.2%
Reported other
expense ratio* 10.8% 10.0% 11.2% 10.2% 10.5%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted other
expense ratio 10.8% 10.0% 11.2% 10.2% 10.5%
Reported statutory
expense ratio* 28.7% 28.0% 29.5% 29.0% 29.7%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted statutory
expense ratio 28.7% 28.0% 29.5% 29.0% 29.7%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 93.3% 88.2% 94.2% 91.0% 89.2%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 93.3% 88.2% 94.2% 91.0% 89.2%
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add
due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules
as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and
filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
(Dollars in
millions) Three months ended
12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/ 12/31 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/
2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 2005 2005 2005
Premiums
Adjusted
written
premiums
(statutory) $589 $593 $635 $584 $547 $557 $617
Written
premium
adjustment --
statutory
only (7) 10 33 (36) (1) 9 12
Reported
written
premiums
(statutory)* $582 $603 $668 $548 $546 $566 $629
Unearned
premiums
change 20 (4) (86) 28 18 (3) (78)
Earned
premiums $602 $599 $582 $576 $564 $563 $551
Statutory
combined
ratio
Reported
statutory
combined
ratio* 94.1% 89.6% 87.5% 84.3% 95.5% 83.9% 85.5%
Written
premium
adjustment --
statutory only nm nm nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted
statutory
combined
ratio 94.1% 89.6% 87.5% 84.3% 95.5% 83.9% 85.5%
Less catastrophe
losses 2.3 5.6 5.1 2.4 9.5 0.4 1.1
Adjusted
statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe
losses 91.8% 84.0% 82.4% 81.9% 86.0% 83.5% 84.4%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined
ratio 93.4% 90.3% 90.5% 82.1% 95.2% 84.8% 87.5%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time
item 93.4% 90.3% 90.5% 82.1% 95.2% 84.8% 87.5%
(Dollars in
millions) Six months Nine months Twelve months
ended ended ended
6/30/ 6/30/ 9/30/ 9/30/ 12/31/ 12/31/
2006 2005 2006 2005 2006 2005
Premiums
Adjusted
written
premiums
(statutory) $1,228 $1,174 $1,817 $1,721 $2,306
Written
premium
adjustment --
statutory
only 43 21 36 20 (16)
Reported
written
premiums
(statutory)* $1,271 $1,195 $1,853 $1,741 $2,290
Unearned
premiums
change (90) (81) (69) (63) (36)
Earned
premiums $1,181 $1,114 $1,783 $1,678 $2,254
Statutory combined
ratio
Reported
statutory
combined
ratio* 88.6% 84.6% 90.3% 88.1% 87.1%
Written
premium
adjustment --
statutory only nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted
statutory
combined
ratio 88.6% 84.6% 90.3% 88.1% 87.1%
Less catastrophe
losses 5.3 0.8 4.3 3.6 3.4
Adjusted
statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe
losses 83.3% 83.8% 86.0% 84.5% 83.7%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined
ratio 90.4% 86.1% 91.4% 89.2% 87.4%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time
item 90.4% 86.1% 91.4% 89.2% 87.4%
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add
due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as
defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed
with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
(Dollars in
millions) Three months ended
12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/ 12/31 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/
2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 2005 2005 2005
Premiums
Adjusted
written
premiums
(statutory) $ 198 $ 211 $ 161 $ 181 $ 217 $ 223 $ 170
Written
premium
adjustment --
statutory
only 0 0 0 (2) (2) 1 (2)
Reported
written
premiums
(statutory)* $ 198 $ 211 $ 161 $ 179 $ 215 $ 224 $ 168
Unearned
premiums
change (9) (17) 35 20 (14) (22) 34
Earned premiums $ 189 $ 194 $ 196 $ 199 $ 201 $ 202 $ 202
Statutory combined
ratio
Reported
statutory
combined ratio* 104.0% 106.4% 98.1% 90.1% 99.9% 93.6% 94.0%
Written premium
adjustment --
statutory only nm nm nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted
statutory
combined ratio 104.0% 106.4% 98.1% 90.1% 99.9% 93.6% 94.0%
Less catastrophe
losses 7.0 15.6 5.0 14.9 6.3 6.2 2.0
Adjusted
statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe
losses 97.0% 90.8% 93.1% 75.2% 93.6% 87.4% 96.0%
GAAP combined
ratio
GAAP combined
ratio 104.4% 107.6% 96.4% 89.0% 100.5% 95.3% 92.7%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 104.4% 107.6% 96.4% 89.0% 100.5% 95.3% 92.7%
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add
due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as
defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed
with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
(Dollars in
millions) Six months Nine months Twelve months
ended ended ended
6/30/ 6/30/ 9/30/ 9/30/ 12/31/ 12/31/
2006 2005 2006 2005 2006 2005
Premiums
Adjusted
written
premiums
(statutory) $ 372 $ 393 $ 570 $ 611 $ 791
Written
premium
adjustment --
statutory
only 0 (1) 0 (3) (5)
Reported
written
premiums
(statutory)* $ 372 $ 392 $ 570 $ 608 $ 786
Unearned
premiums
change 18 8 9 (3) 17
Earned premiums $ 390 $ 404 $ 579 $ 605 $ 804
Statutory combined
ratio
Reported
statutory
combined ratio* 101.6% 93.7% 102.3% 95.7% 94.3%
Written premium
adjustment --
statutory only nm nm nm nm nm
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted
statutory
combined ratio 101.6% 93.7% 102.3% 95.7% 94.3%
Less catastrophe
losses 10.3 2.1 9.2 3.5 6.3
Adjusted
statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe
losses 91.3% 91.6% 93.1% 92.2% 88.0%
GAAP combined
ratio
GAAP combined
ratio 102.0% 94.0% 102.8% 96.1% 94.4%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 102.0% 94.0% 102.8% 96.1% 94.4%
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add
due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as
defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed
with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
SOURCE Cincinnati Financial Corporation
CONTACT: Investors, Heather J. Wietzel, +1-513-870-2768, or
Media, Joan O. Shevchik, +1-513-603-5323, both of
Cincinnati Financial Corporation /
Web site: http://www.cinfin.com
http://www.cinfin.com/investors /
(CINF)